MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe32fe77c2d87400064cd4d0220a6157c3ef0e8d1dd8372b89e8654b247ac1b94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Cardinals, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Cardinals | 53c | 172,596$91,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,476.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Orioles | 47c | 77,614$36,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,135.28 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Orioles | 47c | 35,252$16,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,683.43 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Orioles | 47c | 26,334$12,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,953.48 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Orioles | 47c | 23,768$11,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,566.98 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 74c | 22,271$16,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,894 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cardinals | 53c | 20,779$11,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,013.1 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 48c | 11,794$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160.86 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…6d7abacked Orioles | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…d495backed Cardinals | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Orioles | 50c | 8,117$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.92 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 47c | 8,109$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.07 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cardinals | 37c | 7,749$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.04 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Orioles | 47c | 7,392$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.76 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…acfbbacked Orioles | 78c | 7,240$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cardinals | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Cardinals | 52c | 5,511$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.05 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 48c | 5,436$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.78 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 5,316$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.26 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cardinals | 1c | 5,304$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 56c | 4,998$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 48c | 4,775$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.6 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Orioles | 47c | 4,160$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.8 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Cardinals | 6c | 4,098$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.87 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Orioles | 47c | 3,780$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.4 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 48c | 3,548$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.44 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Orioles | 48c | 3,321$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cardinals | 11c | 2,687$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 24c | 2,537$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cardinals | 46c | 2,221$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 20c | 2,077$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.33 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cardinals | 52c | 2,039$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.68 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1f…20c8backed Orioles | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.97 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Cardinals | 40c | 1,984$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cardinals | 35c | 1,774$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,616$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 49c | 1,613$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.2 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cardinals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Orioles | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cardinals | 53c | 1,286$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.53 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Cardinals | 27c | 1,225$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 55c | 1,200$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.75 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 42c | 1,194$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7727…366fbacked Cardinals | 51c | 1,163$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…2512backed Orioles | 49c | 1,135$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Cardinals | 17c | 1,117$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.94 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3efc…5e48backed Cardinals | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…c3c2backed Orioles | 49c | 1,000$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed3…f05fbacked Cardinals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Cardinals | 51c | 998.62$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.28 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…8e5dbacked Cardinals | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 10c | 978.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93d…36cabacked Orioles | 49c | 965$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f01…6f56backed Cardinals | 51c | 937$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…5f79backed Cardinals | 52c | 931$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…0003backed Orioles | 48c | 820$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…a68abacked Orioles | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a6…6db5backed Orioles | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cardinals | 16c | 793.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…8b69backed Cardinals | 52c | 769$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Cardinals | 52c | 752.6$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.88 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Cardinals | 31c | 719.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals | 10c | 635.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 65c | 623.19$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1565…e6b0backed Cardinals | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Orioles | 47c | 582.64$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.8 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 3c | 564.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cardinals | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cardinals | 37c | 539.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Cardinals | 25c | 529.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…cb76backed Cardinals | 36c | 478.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed Orioles | 48c | 410.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Cardinals | 51c | 409.8$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cardinals | 43c | 406.39$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.61 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals | 47c | 400$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Cardinals | 13c | 353.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Orioles | 65c | 329.83$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Cardinals | 47c | 320.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 50c | 315.28$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.64 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…31c0backed Orioles | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…afa0backed Cardinals | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cardinals | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Orioles | 74c | 275.92$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cardinals | 22c | 274.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Cardinals | 48c | 251.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cardinals | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Cardinals | 38c | 225.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Orioles | 52c | 224.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Cardinals | 50c | 215.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed Cardinals | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Orioles | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.