Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNC Wilmington vs. Texas Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x763390f1eaac41f30846cc6eaff51dcade958f75dfedbb6b8079b0f861ed5436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Techof UNC Wilmington, Texas Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed UNC Wilmington | 10c | 41,218$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.47 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Texas Tech | 76c | 20,998$16,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.27 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UNC Wilmington | 3c | 11,041$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.47 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked UNC Wilmington | 0c | 5,745$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked UNC Wilmington | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed UNC Wilmington | 3c | 4,340$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked UNC Wilmington | 17c | 3,541$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed UNC Wilmington | 16c | 2,222$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.52 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked UNC Wilmington | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed UNC Wilmington | 9c | 1,670$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed UNC Wilmington | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked UNC Wilmington | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…d392backed UNC Wilmington | 5c | 1,028$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed UNC Wilmington | 12c | 858.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed UNC Wilmington | 17c | 819$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed UNC Wilmington | 1c | 752$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked UNC Wilmington | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed UNC Wilmington | 8c | 555.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed UNC Wilmington | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed UNC Wilmington | 14c | 467.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed UNC Wilmington | 4c | 449.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed UNC Wilmington | 9c | 440$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked UNC Wilmington | 5c | 407.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed UNC Wilmington | 12c | 321.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed UNC Wilmington | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed UNC Wilmington | 6c | 299.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UNC Wilmington | 15c | 285.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…88a7backed UNC Wilmington | 9c | 229$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed UNC Wilmington | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed UNC Wilmington | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed UNC Wilmington | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed UNC Wilmington | 13c | 158.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…71c0backed UNC Wilmington | 8c | 156.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed UNC Wilmington | 15c | 134.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…63a3backed UNC Wilmington | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed UNC Wilmington | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed UNC Wilmington | 10c | 122.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…3b4bbacked UNC Wilmington | 14c | 109.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed UNC Wilmington | 16c | 108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4420backed UNC Wilmington | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked UNC Wilmington | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed UNC Wilmington | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked UNC Wilmington | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…721bbacked UNC Wilmington | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed UNC Wilmington | 18c | 86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.