Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba077571067bdc4d156e1826dd25507e0dbd870defa86c94bc6a5db91b678e54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86f8…63d5backed Yes | 26c | 9,994$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54f…ec81backed No | 74c | 9,994$7,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 15c | 5,689$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.98 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 75c | 2,073$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…7fe7backed No | 76c | 1,441$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 71c | 1,421$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.16 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 24c | 716.03$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 24c | 630.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Yes | 26c | 615.38$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 74c | 530.77$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 24c | 499.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +199%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…f453backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 27c | 374.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 341.64$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 74c | 290.77$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 198.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Yes | 34c | 167.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 73c | 116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 73c | 80.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…7841backed Yes | 25c | 75.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 74.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…c35bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 27c | 50.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 48.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 35.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 75c | 26.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…8e86backed No | 77c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-17?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.