MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e646a237df7746869a4f63e5dc158e13c0e8c2d138ab77e5d4c95bc54fdc4df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Brewers | 44c | 29,000$12,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,257.74 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…0fa0backed Guardians | 29c | 24,717$7,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,171.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Brewers | 48c | 20,230$9,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,519.6 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 55c | 13,007$7,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,140.61 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 52c | 12,667$6,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,586.91 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 56c | 11,977$6,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,704.42 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…24b4backed Guardians | 57c | 9,999$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…8753backed Brewers | 43c | 9,994$4,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 47c | 6,800$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Guardians | 54c | 5,323$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.06 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 50c | 3,846$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.14 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 54c | 2,981$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.04 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Guardians | 58c | 2,650$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.01 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…f3fcbacked Brewers | 47c | 2,617$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Guardians | 53c | 2,600$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 46c | 2,165$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.17 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Brewers | 45c | 1,055$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.79 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…abeabacked Guardians | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Brewers | 48c | 912.5$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…1416backed Guardians | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Brewers | 46c | 662.77$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.96 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 56c | 649.58$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.75 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 50c | 617.98$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked Guardians | 59c | 610.36$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Guardians | 54c | 586.69$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Guardians | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfada…9502backed Brewers | 46c | 455.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Guardians | 57c | 449.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.49 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0419…4e83backed Brewers | 50c | 418.5$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Brewers | 51c | 400.08$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Guardians | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…6d77backed Brewers | 46c | 364.57$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 59c | 340.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b1…8a14backed Guardians | 55c | 334.93$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…6e30backed Guardians | 52c | 333.62$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…9179backed Brewers | 50c | 333.24$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…a80abacked Guardians | 55c | 314.6$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869e…2f30backed Guardians | 52c | 313.08$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Brewers | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Brewers | 48c | 286.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.12 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Guardians | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Guardians | 6c | 249.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Brewers | 46c | 214.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Guardians | 53c | 214$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Brewers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Brewers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Guardians | 30c | 199.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Guardians | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Guardians | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Guardians | 53c | 170$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…8a6bbacked Guardians | 55c | 168.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Guardians | 53c | 153.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Brewers | 46c | 111.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Guardians | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec77…1660backed Guardians | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Guardians | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Guardians | 57c | 86.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 75c | 83.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 66c | 80.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Guardians | 53c | 78.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 54c | 75.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Guardians | 18c | 66.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd686…055abacked Guardians | 57c | 66.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Guardians | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Guardians | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 53c | 49.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe5…4dafbacked Guardians | 55c | 42.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Guardians | 58c | 41.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…fc83backed Guardians | 57c | 40.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Brewers | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Brewers | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…09e9backed Guardians | 54c | 39.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 52c | 36.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d06…e222backed Brewers | 44c | 36.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 56c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…ef32backed Brewers | 46c | 34.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…80c0backed Brewers | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Brewers | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…e445backed Brewers | 46c | 30.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Guardians | 52c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Brewers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…2d71backed Guardians | 55c | 29.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…e85ebacked Brewers | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Brewers | 43c | 28.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Guardians | 55c | 24.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Guardians | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Guardians | 54c | 22.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.