NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95ea96e5e3e06348af5b1bc1ff5cb38339de64e90b2fab2eaed6d99c206fa8e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Bucks, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $515,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $525,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Suns | 59c | 84,055$49,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,559.87 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Suns | 50c | 43,130$21,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,588.24 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 47c | 39,255$18,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,304.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…b635backed Suns | 61c | 28,127$17,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,006.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks | 46c | 22,551$10,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,311.85 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…4777backed Bucks | 47c | 20,995$9,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,945.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Bucks | 43c | 18,697$7,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,962.32 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 42c | 14,199$6,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,021.52 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 43c | 13,423$5,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.36 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Suns | 49c | 13,118$6,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,736.06 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bucks | 40c | 10,638$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.34 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Suns | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Suns | 58c | 8,740$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.48 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 38c | 8,492$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.64 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Bucks | 47c | 8,282$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.22 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bucks | 40c | 7,969$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.49 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 45c | 7,303$3,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.74 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Suns | 64c | 6,518$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.51 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Bucks | 1c | 6,100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Suns | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Bucks | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bucks | 40c | 4,390$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.15 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 44c | 4,147$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.07 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 42c | 3,941$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.11 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Suns | 60c | 3,800$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Suns | 45c | 3,268$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.29 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bucks | 37c | 3,187$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.68 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Bucks | 39c | 3,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Suns | 65c | 3,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bucks | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Bucks | 53c | 2,832$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bucks | 59c | 2,555$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.55 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Bucks | 54c | 2,519$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Bucks | 34c | 2,469$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.7 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Suns | 72c | 2,466$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.64 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…795dbacked Bucks | 39c | 2,460$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…d4f3backed Suns | 59c | 2,460$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…0c0bbacked Suns | 58c | 2,446$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Suns | 57c | 2,307$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.35 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Suns | 76c | 2,293$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.98 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e2…40b9backed Bucks | 26c | 2,100$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 41c | 2,088$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.45 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bucks | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Suns | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Bucks | 51c | 1,986$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.65 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks | 41c | 1,943$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.28 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks | 52c | 1,777$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.69 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Suns | 63c | 1,664$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.8 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Bucks | 39c | 1,617$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.63 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Bucks | 20c | 1,500$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Suns | 60c | 1,480$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bucks | 42c | 1,441$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.31 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Bucks | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bucks | 43c | 1,379$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bucks | 26c | 1,360$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.15 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Suns | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.32 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Suns | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Bucks | 74c | 1,252$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.31 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bucks | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Suns | 59c | 1,191$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.59 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…62b5backed Bucks | 40c | 1,180$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.85 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Bucks | 41c | 1,150$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.62 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Bucks | 48c | 1,136$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.04 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Bucks | 55c | 1,119$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.51 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bucks | 38c | 1,056$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Bucks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Suns | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Suns | 60c | 987.64$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Suns | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks | 41c | 977.34$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.55 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Suns | 53c | 928.65$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.89 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Bucks | 41c | 920$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.53 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bucks | 41c | 896$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.36 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…faedbacked Bucks | 40c | 890.08$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Suns | 73c | 873$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Bucks | 38c | 752.7$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…78f0backed Suns | 75c | 640.2$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bucks | 41c | 620$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.26 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Bucks | 45c | 593.41$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.04 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Bucks | 46c | 584.78$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…8222backed Bucks | 40c | 571.66$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 41c | 568.16$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…54e8backed Bucks | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Suns | 64c | 553.92$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bucks | 60c | 550$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Bucks | 58c | 549.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.99 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Suns | 59c | 511.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.49 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Bucks | 10c | 506.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Suns | 58c | 503$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Suns | 60c | 502.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.82 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 50c | 500$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bucks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Bucks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…e9c0backed Bucks | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.36 | 107 | 24.3%26 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Bucks | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bucks | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Suns | 62c | 485.45$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.45 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.