MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d7c5d606abdfa5918ae200b3d4cb5c4ce07ff0ae200ca2146c6861508c0a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Athletics | 25c | 10,000$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Athletics | 0c | 6,270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Athletics | 30c | 6,100$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Yankees | 76c | 4,800$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 76c | 4,617$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.83 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 15c | 2,324$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Athletics | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 16c | 1,687$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.03 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Athletics | 43c | 1,068$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.17 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 68c | 1,031$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.66 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Athletics | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yankees | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees | 64c | 928.36$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.14 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Yankees | 72c | 709.7$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Athletics | 41c | 708.97$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Yankees | 72c | 604.17$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 57c | 554.62$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.49 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yankees | 58c | 521.9$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Athletics | 42c | 486.19$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yankees | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Yankees | 77c | 390.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yankees | 56c | 298.46$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.37 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 23c | 279.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Athletics | 34c | 187.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 22c | 179.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yankees | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Yankees | 58c | 154.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2034backed Athletics | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yankees | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…e61bbacked Yankees | 59c | 83.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Athletics | 41c | 82.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…38a2backed Yankees | 59c | 76.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yankees | 59c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 20c | 52.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yankees | 58c | 50.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Yankees | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Athletics | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Yankees | 59c | 45.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yankees | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…8444backed Yankees | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…988dbacked Yankees | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yankees | 79c | 41.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…663ebacked Athletics | 42c | 41.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Yankees | 62c | 39.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Athletics | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…3e91backed Athletics | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yankees | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yankees | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…772ebacked Yankees | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Yankees | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Yankees | 78c | 27.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Athletics | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e8…8793backed Yankees | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8a…7dcebacked Yankees | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…6ee0backed Yankees | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yankees | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…cb14backed Yankees | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Yankees | 58c | 17.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.