NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c1ca4fd66771ef86082b7ebc2a4d7066c26b217a25f49eb024f35bbde741768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Raptors | 55c | 18,733$10,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,476.7 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Wizards | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wizards | 55c | 9,724$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.81 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Wizards | 47c | 8,683$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.48 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raptors | 61c | 8,518$5,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.25 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 41c | 6,673$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.69 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Raptors | 54c | 6,323$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.18 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Raptors | 62c | 6,299$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.25 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 36c | 4,893$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.66 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Wizards | 55c | 4,794$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.74 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Raptors | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Wizards | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Raptors | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.94 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 43c | 2,891$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.95 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Raptors | 37c | 2,055$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Wizards | 54c | 1,962$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.21 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…5230backed Wizards | 55c | 1,837$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Raptors | 49c | 1,646$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Raptors | 71c | 1,539$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.49 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 29c | 1,517$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.74 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Raptors | 48c | 1,459$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,413$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.91 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…b99abacked Wizards | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Wizards | 46c | 1,172$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 43c | 1,162$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.05 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Raptors | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…11cdbacked Raptors | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards | 52c | 961.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.23 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Wizards | 53c | 929.09$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.42 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 2c | 900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors | 41c | 888.68$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.14 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Raptors | 62c | 785.45$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.51 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Wizards | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Wizards | 64c | 782.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…1595backed Raptors | 56c | 750$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors | 56c | 715.4$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.03 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Wizards | 6c | 699.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Wizards | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…909abacked Wizards | 39c | 518.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Raptors | 46c | 500.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards | 52c | 495.55$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.84 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 54c | 433.9$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.3 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b44…3b74backed Wizards | 45c | 407.12$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Wizards | 53c | 402.11$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…d429backed Raptors | 63c | 390.1$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…a887backed Wizards | 24c | 380.27$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -83%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Wizards | 54c | 369.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Wizards | 63c | 337.89$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Raptors | 46c | 309.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Raptors | 43c | 299.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…962dbacked Raptors | 48c | 267.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…ab0bbacked Raptors | 69c | 259.56$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Wizards | 19c | 250.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…59bebacked Wizards | 55c | 249.09$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…bacabacked Raptors | 58c | 248.28$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Raptors | 58c | 244.23$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…c879backed Raptors | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…14dbbacked Wizards | 46c | 219.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Raptors | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…d0cbbacked Raptors | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Raptors | 48c | 210.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…ef73backed Raptors | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Wizards | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Raptors | 39c | 196.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Raptors | 46c | 194.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Wizards | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe52…5991backed Wizards | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Wizards | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Raptors | 41c | 179.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…2b7bbacked Wizards | 55c | 164.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Raptors | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Raptors | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 54c | 148$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95e…6096backed Raptors | 46c | 143.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Wizards | 52c | 140.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Raptors | 69c | 138.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…88d5backed Raptors | 47c | 127.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…e5a0backed Raptors | 46c | 115$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…8328backed Raptors | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…3c50backed Raptors | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Raptors | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wizards | 53c | 105.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Wizards | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wizards | 55c | 102.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…b645backed Raptors | 48c | 102.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…bdc2backed Wizards | 53c | 100.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…9d16backed Raptors | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Wizards | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…135bbacked Wizards | 53c | 99.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…426cbacked Raptors | 48c | 99.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…6b02backed Raptors | 48c | 99.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…65ecbacked Wizards | 56c | 96.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…d4eabacked Wizards | 53c | 95.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.