MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9472c2f1bc93fdf9e11fadf92cae7b61c26410b57df72bef976a78dca6767572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Braves, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 48c | 45,868$22,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,016.51 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mets | 53c | 14,197$7,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,672.67 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Mets | 52c | 10,757$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Mets | 52c | 10,065$5,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 57c | 6,491$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.93 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…9c62backed Mets | 52c | 6,120$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Braves | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.97 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Braves | 32c | 4,789$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.47 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 35c | 4,612$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mets | 60c | 4,496$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.14 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mets | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.39 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Mets | 53c | 3,805$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.38 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Mets | 56c | 3,702$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 48c | 3,335$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 51c | 3,331$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…970bbacked Mets | 52c | 3,175$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 35c | 3,167$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Braves | 2c | 3,106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Braves | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Mets | 67c | 2,946$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.52 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7496…e885backed Braves | 49c | 2,547$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Mets | 55c | 2,431$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.78 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Braves | 3c | 2,419$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Braves | 12c | 2,388$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Braves | 44c | 2,268$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Braves | 44c | 2,242$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.4 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 49c | 2,214$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.65 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Braves | 11c | 2,124$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Mets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Braves | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Braves | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Braves | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Braves | 49c | 1,945$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.05 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Braves | 47c | 1,861$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.75 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 49c | 1,641$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.27 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Mets | 51c | 1,605$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.5 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Braves | 34c | 1,445$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.21 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Braves | 45c | 1,354$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.34 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…5d1dbacked Mets | 51c | 1,337$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Braves | 47c | 1,287$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c4…7507backed Mets | 51c | 1,210$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Mets | 52c | 1,204$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Braves | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Mets | 52c | 1,034$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.62 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Braves | 47c | 1,022$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Braves | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Mets | 52c | 876$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.48 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Mets | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Mets | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Braves | 44c | 707.44$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.15 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…834cbacked Braves | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Mets | 56c | 697.06$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.93 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Mets | 52c | 677.06$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Mets | 52c | 655.64$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.84 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Mets | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 47c | 564.48$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.31 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 25c | 558.23$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mets | 70c | 558.03$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.03 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Braves | 52c | 550.04$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Mets | 55c | 539.01$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.54 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…6155backed Braves | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Braves | 49c | 509.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Braves | 49c | 505$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.79 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Braves | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mets | 50c | 500$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…847bbacked Mets | 52c | 491.94$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Mets | 54c | 481.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Braves | 35c | 474.31$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.91 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Mets | 52c | 468.83$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.04 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 52c | 460.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.55 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Mets | 52c | 426.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mets | 63c | 409.77$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Braves | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Braves | 48c | 406.81$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Braves | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Mets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mets | 64c | 352.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 35c | 350$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Braves | 48c | 341.67$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Braves | 43c | 327.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Braves | 4c | 324.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Mets | 52c | 315$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 34c | 312.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Mets | 53c | 307.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6152…d8f3backed Braves | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ae…a165backed Mets | 51c | 299.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Braves | 33c | 262.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Braves | 48c | 258.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…0941backed Mets | 52c | 253.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Mets | 76c | 245.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 24c | 241$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Braves | 43c | 234$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Braves | 52c | 208.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.