La Liga · resolved market
Will the match between Real Madrid and Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20e7c786bd2f3ee76184c5e63b13fb99b2369ca4d9b251ad513c06b694a712ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f9e…a976backed Yes | 0c | 12,516$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 34c | 6,667$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Yes | 25c | 1,667$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 76c | 1,573$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 73c | 1,129$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 1,000$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 25c | 856.18$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 22c | 578.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 24c | 550$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…f213backed No | 76c | 499.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…eba7backed Yes | 25c | 412$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 75c | 348.68$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…8d77backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 30c | 327.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…f52bbacked Yes | 24c | 266.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 23c | 230.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 24c | 206.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8a92backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 9c | 173.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed No | 77c | 142.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5e…91dabacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…3afdbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed No | 77c | 77.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7934backed Yes | 24c | 62.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…cc6bbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0245…0c88backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ff…7f9cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…87f9backed Yes | 23c | 49.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…770dbacked No | 72c | 48.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…4cb1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Real Madrid and Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.