MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f3629ecff0a925a3876c4938a14eb0124577ca4617e4dff9b511afeb3ce1efc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a56…3b4ebacked Phillies | 62c | 63,846$39,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,584.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…9ecabacked Cardinals | 38c | 49,746$18,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,842.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Phillies | 63c | 21,918$13,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,778.94 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Phillies | 66c | 19,841$13,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,024.37 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fb…8649backed Phillies | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…3be3backed Cardinals | 38c | 14,100$5,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,742 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 36c | 13,289$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,479.95 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…e8eebacked Phillies | 61c | 9,999$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…dd86backed Cardinals | 39c | 9,998$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,098.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 34c | 7,437$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.06 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 37c | 7,019$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Cardinals | 40c | 5,000$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.91 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 38c | 3,442$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.98 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…137fbacked Phillies | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Cardinals | 38c | 2,500$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…9a6fbacked Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,997$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.36 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,665$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Phillies | 63c | 1,662$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Phillies | 62c | 1,511$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.82 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,487$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.94 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,484$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.08 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,477$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.81 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.13 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,180$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Cardinals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Cardinals | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…7372backed Phillies | 62c | 921.05$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 62c | 844$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.28 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Phillies | 62c | 822.55$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…2b46backed Cardinals | 38c | 822.55$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 41c | 773.01$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 52c | 701$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cardinals | 37c | 700.07$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.04 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals | 29c | 691.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.9 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Cardinals | 37c | 665$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.2 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…69f5backed Phillies | 56c | 603.38$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 78c | 600$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Cardinals | 69c | 546.1$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed Phillies | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cardinals | 37c | 491.55$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.68 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Cardinals | 47c | 458.21$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.47 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cardinals | 39c | 346.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.87 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 36c | 328.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.85 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 61c | 319.95$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Phillies | 4c | 315$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Cardinals | 37c | 300$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Phillies | 56c | 282.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 172.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 38c | 155.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Cardinals | 43c | 154$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 31c | 140$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Phillies | 63c | 128.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…cbdcbacked Cardinals | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Phillies | 61c | 103$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…ca1abacked Phillies | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Cardinals | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 39c | 98.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…eb41backed Cardinals | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…524abacked Cardinals | 39c | 84.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…2c5fbacked Cardinals | 35c | 65.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…4db2backed Phillies | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed Phillies | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…4bc9backed Cardinals | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked Phillies | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 62c | 59.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cardinals | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cardinals | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Phillies | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Phillies | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…91b8backed Phillies | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d1…d284backed Phillies | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3539…b17bbacked Phillies | 63c | 47.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…2fdbbacked Cardinals | 39c | 45.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Cardinals | 40c | 44.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Cardinals | 37c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Phillies | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Cardinals | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd686…055abacked Cardinals | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…3838backed Cardinals | 39c | 37.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…577bbacked Cardinals | 39c | 37.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf61…8633backed Phillies | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…a73dbacked Cardinals | 39c | 34.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…a88dbacked Cardinals | 39c | 32.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490d…472bbacked Cardinals | 39c | 31.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…4081backed Cardinals | 39c | 31.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…cc00backed Cardinals | 39c | 28.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.