MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa59a9e3e3400f509eda911968d5e089c6e83a65e83f252a68a950c3711ed158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Brewers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc760…fc85backed Brewers | 55c | 97,500$53,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,625 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…7ceabacked Guardians | 45c | 97,500$43,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,625 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Brewers | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 51c | 10,304$5,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.35 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 49c | 10,153$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,152.67 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 51c | 5,827$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.44 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 50c | 4,293$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.37 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Guardians | 53c | 4,170$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 49c | 3,908$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.9 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 53c | 2,434$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.8 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3c0cbacked Brewers | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…137fbacked Guardians | 47c | 2,250$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7b…179ebacked Guardians | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf7…ee71backed Guardians | 47c | 2,194$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…ed6dbacked Guardians | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Brewers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Brewers | 51c | 1,951$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Brewers | 10c | 1,790$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c3…4107backed Guardians | 49c | 1,629$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Brewers | 55c | 1,505$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Guardians | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 51c | 1,343$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.88 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b2…8696backed Guardians | 45c | 1,162$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…d78fbacked Guardians | 45c | 1,138$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3c…cd74backed Brewers | 55c | 1,104$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…c2dfbacked Brewers | 55c | 1,096$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 55c | 1,088$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.49 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed00…f47abacked Brewers | 55c | 1,087$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Brewers | 55c | 1,085$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 50c | 1,017$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.84 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea05…1a54backed Brewers | 55c | 1,013$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Brewers | 53c | 945.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers | 51c | 899.99$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.5 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Brewers | 35c | 829.1$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.19 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Brewers | 52c | 800.26$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…aeb7backed Brewers | 53c | 756.77$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Guardians | 46c | 689.19$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Guardians | 47c | 649.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Guardians | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Guardians | 57c | 585.87$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.87 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…f84bbacked Brewers | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 53c | 564.13$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Guardians | 42c | 534.44$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Guardians | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Guardians | 51c | 490.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.38 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Brewers | 52c | 460$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Guardians | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Brewers | 53c | 388.75$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Brewers | 54c | 370.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…5529backed Brewers | 52c | 370$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Guardians | 66c | 364.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Brewers | 54c | 316.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 51c | 303.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Brewers | 4c | 271$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 6c | 257.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…6014backed Brewers | 56c | 255.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Brewers | 54c | 231.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Guardians | 48c | 205.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Brewers | 52c | 199.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f0cbbacked Brewers | 55c | 196$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a56…3b4ebacked Guardians | 45c | 196$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 46c | 186.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Brewers | 26c | 185$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Guardians | 54c | 182.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Guardians | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Brewers | 53c | 148$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Guardians | 48c | 138.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…b172backed Brewers | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Guardians | 45c | 99.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Brewers | 14c | 98.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Brewers | 53c | 90.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brewers | 33c | 83.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Brewers | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Guardians | 55c | 72.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 46c | 68.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 47c | 55.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Guardians | 54c | 55.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed Brewers | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Guardians | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Brewers | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Brewers | 53c | 49.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Brewers | 46c | 48.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Brewers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 46c | 45.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Brewers | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Brewers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Guardians | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Brewers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…ce78backed Brewers | 56c | 37.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…0137backed Brewers | 49c | 35.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Brewers | 57c | 35.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.