World Politics · resolved market
Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2d55e783a4cf12aae5882a43006db45697caccdffcca7f4cd8644771c8358db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 60c | 5,392$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.43 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 47c | 5,143$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.29 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 2c | 4,023$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…db19backed No | 31c | 2,379$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed Yes | 36c | 2,323$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 17c | 2,322$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.32 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 52c | 2,119$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.97 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…4c70backed Yes | 69c | 2,062$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…0400backed No | 43c | 1,866$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 45c | 1,677$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.86 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5971…bec3backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 40c | 903.27$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.65 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1511…ce9fbacked Yes | 61c | 880.95$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…e414backed Yes | 56c | 814.73$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…7c46backed Yes | 63c | 705.33$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed Yes | 52c | 656.16$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 47c | 610.69$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Yes | 48c | 572.94$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 516.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 48c | 474.24$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.31 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 56c | 465.45$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 25c | 439.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.49 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…ef21backed Yes | 61c | 377$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked No | 65c | 338.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 57c | 322.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 62c | 295.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2b92backed Yes | 57c | 255.8$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…06b7backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88dd…5767backed No | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Yes | 60c | 218.63$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 6c | 190.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 125 | 6.4%8 W · 117 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 56c | 176.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…57fdbacked Yes | 58c | 172.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 36c | 169.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…5377backed Yes | 71c | 164.49$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…8e2ebacked Yes | 60c | 148.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked Yes | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…12dfbacked Yes | 57c | 119.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aad…ef81backed Yes | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…03b5backed Yes | 53c | 112$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…8655backed Yes | 45c | 110.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7b…fe16backed Yes | 60c | 108.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb057…f818backed Yes | 45c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…17e3backed No | 47c | 106.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 38c | 106.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 36c | 103.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7892…1ea2backed Yes | 80c | 99.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…b3afbacked Yes | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…0a7bbacked No | 58c | 97.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a47…7177backed Yes | 47c | 96.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7f…3480backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…5f04backed Yes | 62c | 78.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Yes | 36c | 76.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 57c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 44c | 72.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…72acbacked Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…115bbacked No | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 58c | 68.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b4…f1e7backed Yes | 37c | 67.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…921ebacked No | 65c | 67.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…3705backed Yes | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…47a8backed No | 44c | 54.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…4601backed Yes | 59c | 51.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 36c | 51.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…c62dbacked Yes | 61c | 50.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb6…ad83backed No | 63c | 50.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…199bbacked Yes | 39c | 50.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa137…564bbacked Yes | 41c | 49.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 59c | 48.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…f537backed Yes | 74c | 47.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…c428backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…3cfebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe58d…5a23backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…7c00backed Yes | 76c | 33.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcf…533fbacked Yes | 39c | 32.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…8659backed No | 62c | 32.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…df8ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Yes | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ca…f918backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…03bcbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…151bbacked Yes | 40c | 26.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa145…06d2backed Yes | 75c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…2150backed Yes | 54c | 22.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…208ebacked Yes | 50c | 20.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…9d81backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?this page
- Will another party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Centre Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Independence Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Liberal Reform Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?No won
- Will the People's Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.