Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x941c5b7ed7cc4511d9aac3b0c2cd819d0c76595bbd82c382bf813fd6621ff83a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 5,108$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 4,604$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.74 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 58c | 3,710$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.8 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 14c | 3,116$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.89 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 11c | 3,100$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 27c | 2,661$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.18 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 76c | 2,641$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.74 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 32c | 2,528$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.72 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 21c | 1,390$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.95 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 80c | 1,100$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc00e…d7c5backed Yes | 71c | 1,014$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 35c | 918.49$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.12 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 19c | 495$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked No | 20c | 471.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…3b4bbacked Yes | 76c | 336.65$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 13c | 305$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.73 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 66c | 187.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 25c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…4e9cbacked No | 26c | 102.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…67fcbacked Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 37c | 40.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…a9bebacked Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-02?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Ipswich end in a draw?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.