Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1360cd15bfcc9e09af772db2aa7019c2e27a07755de2b0d3566f3237cb9d8504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x092f…18acbacked Yes | 0c | 6,439$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,882$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,903$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,037$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.75 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 62c | 1,334$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.67 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 10c | 1,250$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 53c | 999.96$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.98 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 4c | 737.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 20c | 590.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 44c | 543.75$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.87 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 52c | 533.85$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…665dbacked Yes | 66c | 500.92$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 65c | 467.72$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.44 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…30fcbacked No | 67c | 447.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…05c7backed Yes | 51c | 355$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…734abacked Yes | 30c | 349.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed No | 34c | 299.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked No | 46c | 299.48$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 288.8$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…5fbdbacked No | 55c | 274$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…1206backed No | 52c | 268$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ac…a2eebacked Yes | 49c | 242.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…91e7backed Yes | 42c | 237.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…eee5backed No | 49c | 204.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ec…9873backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…8bb4backed No | 53c | 199$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 48c | 198.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…002bbacked Yes | 22c | 190$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…fd85backed No | 37c | 190$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…dd15backed No | 54c | 183.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…fb01backed No | 56c | 179.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 52c | 176.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…e6ecbacked Yes | 41c | 174$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…b9dbbacked Yes | 45c | 172$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…a16dbacked Yes | 30c | 164.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f37…6dc5backed No | 59c | 153.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed Yes | 40c | 151.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…8841backed No | 56c | 148$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…5e06backed Yes | 39c | 139$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…e579backed Yes | 47c | 137.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…51bcbacked No | 52c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 54c | 112.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…d01abacked Yes | 50c | 108.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc590…ad79backed Yes | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…9e66backed No | 48c | 104.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…3894backed Yes | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…eaabbacked No | 61c | 102$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7033…163ebacked Yes | 28c | 101$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 56c | 100.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked No | 45c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb73d…0b78backed No | 59c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…1d7bbacked No | 38c | 87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2401…1c38backed No | 46c | 87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9c…515cbacked No | 44c | 84.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…ff24backed No | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…7765backed No | 54c | 78.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…5e93backed No | 53c | 77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 74.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…f69abacked Yes | 72c | 69.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…aec4backed Yes | 62c | 68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…fa06backed No | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…51dfbacked Yes | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878b…171ebacked Yes | 31c | 63.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…6b01backed No | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 46c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc077…ca40backed No | 44c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…f953backed Yes | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…904cbacked No | 38c | 61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…81cbbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cda…ccfbbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed Yes | 50c | 59.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 29c | 59.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…158abacked No | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…187bbacked Yes | 61c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae9…42adbacked Yes | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…29adbacked Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6c…efd8backed Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee55…ba1bbacked No | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…286ebacked Yes | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…d219backed No | 39c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41be…3677backed Yes | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…5e10backed Yes | 46c | 53.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…22b7backed No | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcc…632fbacked No | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…a01ebacked Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe506…0723backed Yes | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…dd00backed Yes | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…3dd2backed No | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…5581backed Yes | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1712…385dbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…869dbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Yes | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.