Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3254f16fb7fbf7c8b00ff7507fef145d69aaca832967446fb8090c3f5de0c9f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,938,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,876,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,938,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 1c | 341,783$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.82 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Yes | 0c | 107,600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3979…f49ebacked Yes | 1c | 100,110$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…a126backed Yes | 1c | 65,005$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 41,711$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…bd40backed Yes | 1c | 29,287$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…b15ebacked Yes | 0c | 26,940$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7823…78d7backed Yes | 0c | 24,950$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…667ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,780$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 22,277$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.77 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 1c | 21,068$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…c275backed Yes | 0c | 20,062$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…c98fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes | 1c | 14,379$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 2c | 13,444$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,232.04 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 1c | 12,163$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…05a0backed Yes | 0c | 11,667$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa659…db4cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…c134backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 1c | 9,305$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 0c | 7,755$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 3c | 7,626$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f801backed Yes | 0c | 7,004$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…a125backed Yes | 74c | 6,753$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 73c | 5,634$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.57 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 1c | 5,365$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.36 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…8f47backed Yes | 1c | 5,334$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Yes | 1c | 4,455$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4b56backed Yes | 0c | 4,304$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked No | 57c | 2,910$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.94 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 6c | 2,150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…7ee1backed Yes | 1c | 2,143$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 77c | 1,701$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…1ba5backed No | 20c | 1,690$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…25d5backed No | 42c | 1,603$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a4…7547backed Yes | 1c | 1,595$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bd…efa7backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Yes | 3c | 1,403$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…d54bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,306$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 49c | 1,196$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.46 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ef…8ae8backed Yes | 24c | 1,056$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 73c | 925$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.28 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 75c | 917.99$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.69 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 51c | 899.74$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.58 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 22c | 710$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.8 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…18acbacked Yes | 3c | 705.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 23c | 700$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bda…5e13backed No | 2c | 600$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +634.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed No | 29c | 571.45$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…917ebacked No | 67c | 554.13$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.14 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…f5adbacked Yes | 62c | 549.94$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 29c | 518.35$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.13 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked No | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +93%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 27c | 396.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 10c | 387.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6426…bb53backed Yes | 79c | 386.3$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked No | 49c | 383.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.71 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…8c33backed Yes | 77c | 273.55$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 41c | 270$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 37c | 236.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1948…f9bbbacked Yes | 55c | 228$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked No | 22c | 208.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…8844backed Yes | 10c | 196.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 30c | 178.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 74c | 158.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 157.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…68c3backed No | 71c | 148.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 79c | 141.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…5a76backed Yes | 9c | 136$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…7d80backed No | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc695…c8b9backed Yes | 13c | 129$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…7995backed Yes | 8c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…f1aabacked Yes | 72c | 101.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d7bfbacked Yes | 10c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…3a5bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcef…912abacked Yes | 19c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a2…6c31backed Yes | 19c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…e00abacked No | 63c | 71.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 15c | 68.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…51d7backed Yes | 66c | 53.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a67…a78ebacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 75c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 70c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e4…054fbacked Yes | 79c | 32.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…096abacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 25.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1374…3e56backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 77c | 25.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…eacfbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…c89ebacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754e…e92abacked Yes | 67c | 17.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.