Cricket · resolved market
Rajasthan Royals vs. Punjab Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x709c4384d1195a947b90f570c05480dbfddd684c7d45d8ab69c789855eb9e3f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Punjab Kingsof Rajasthan Royals, Punjab Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rajasthan Royals | 42c | 1,657$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rajasthan Royals | 43c | 884.56$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.65 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Punjab Kings | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Punjab Kings | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Rajasthan Royals | 44c | 452.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Punjab Kings | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…4e38backed Punjab Kings | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Punjab Kings | 59c | 120.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…d4d0backed Punjab Kings | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Punjab Kings | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…ddacbacked Rajasthan Royals | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Punjab Kings | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…8810backed Punjab Kings | 57c | 79.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Punjab Kings | 56c | 71.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…c1cbbacked Rajasthan Royals | 49c | 71.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…db34backed Punjab Kings | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Punjab Kings | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…4226backed Punjab Kings | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…ee95backed Punjab Kings | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Punjab Kings | 58c | 33.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…cd61backed Punjab Kings | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…0686backed Rajasthan Royals | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Punjab Kings | 80c | 28.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…46b3backed Punjab Kings | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Punjab Kings | 63c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…7deabacked Punjab Kings | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.