Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x542b01d064c4658fe8e321f8db4cb8f6d4e7f3c0d60959c2b89e4dda1b71b19c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0822…c30ebacked No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…38cfbacked Yes | 26c | 9,993$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 73c | 2,378$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.17 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked No | 55c | 1,804$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.13 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 61c | 1,765$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.7 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 39c | 1,536$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 26c | 1,353$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 73c | 929.5$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 45c | 696.97$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.64 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…0e52backed Yes | 27c | 677.78$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 41c | 467.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.47 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 25c | 460$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 73c | 456.66$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 75c | 373.4$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 335.41$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 30c | 275.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 37c | 254.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…94a1backed No | 34c | 154.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 26c | 145.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 34c | 118.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 72c | 103.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 68c | 71.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…6c3ebacked Yes | 66c | 69.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 73c | 40.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 41c | 36.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 35.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…207fbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 68c | 18.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-04-19?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.