Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Norfolk State vs. Florida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f9084f27803976f4202b9e14bd803828879d474f0020eaeb21dd8abd6619434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Floridaof Norfolk State, Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Norfolk State | 2c | 13,060$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.13 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Norfolk State | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Norfolk State | 3c | 3,703$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Norfolk State | 3c | 3,185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Norfolk State | 3c | 2,855$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Norfolk State | 3c | 2,776$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Norfolk State | 3c | 2,713$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Norfolk State | 2c | 2,600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Norfolk State | 3c | 2,074$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Norfolk State | 3c | 1,517$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Norfolk State | 2c | 1,341$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Norfolk State | 2c | 1,089$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Norfolk State | 2c | 1,002$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Norfolk State | 2c | 948.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…d392backed Norfolk State | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e22…5bfbbacked Norfolk State | 4c | 304.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Norfolk State | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.