Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2e0d8ef2d436c26db73d82dff9f62dcdf392d27c3cf7535a450cbe1b9d65cd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 20,977$13,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,197.93 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 49c | 3,366$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.72 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 50c | 2,665$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.85 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 42c | 2,193$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 77c | 1,695$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 23c | 1,677$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.4 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked No | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 825$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.51 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 50c | 245$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…8130backed Yes | 76c | 233.42$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 51c | 212$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 47c | 211$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yes | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b42…0a09backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…5c6bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 53c | 188.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 70c | 131$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…5f7dbacked Yes | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked No | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…f237backed Yes | 51c | 23.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c864backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-16?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-09-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.