Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae4729b873f599953df2f59e88023ee249c3280fee58aec90efe331624f8af7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 56c | 10,613$5,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.66 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 47c | 6,634$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…8603backed No | 53c | 2,394$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dab…3cc4backed Yes | 50c | 2,393$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…b735backed No | 54c | 2,339$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…8ad2backed Yes | 49c | 2,338$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 18c | 1,355$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 966.22$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 35c | 855.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 39c | 700$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 21c | 468.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 425.07$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 52c | 369$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 121.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 69c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 52c | 105.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 50c | 72.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 47c | 71.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…8125backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 50c | 39.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will NEC vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
- Will NEC win on 2025-09-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.