Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NEC win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58e4f2fdf28604b3708f2465fa5640a97cdf7c2151476a4d8461658a6356ab6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 30c | 6,641$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,648.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 60c | 2,896$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.6 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…9eefbacked Yes | 30c | 1,777$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…9c8dbacked No | 73c | 1,772$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 70c | 1,709$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Yes | 64c | 1,680$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 1,006$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 1,003$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.95 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 70c | 841.09$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.76 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 696.04$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 39c | 499.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 27c | 480$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.1 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 70c | 263.6$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 59c | 243.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 41c | 206.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 37c | 192.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 70c | 158$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked Yes | 42c | 153.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 121.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…c61fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 28c | 88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 70c | 77.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 73c | 57.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Yes | 63c | 41.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…7224backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…8125backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed No | 41c | 25.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will AZ win on 2025-09-28?No won
- Will NEC vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.