MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b9397abf2e8eafdac7408cbeb33ee2fba5180fdc01cd6ab03cca9f074f088e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $705,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $755,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $705,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 44c | 315,384$139,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,645.51 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Braves | 51c | 80,564$41,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,326.58 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 56c | 80,000$44,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,600 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 48c | 54,290$25,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,818.86 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Braves | 56c | 47,078$26,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,714.16 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Braves | 56c | 43,000$24,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,920 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Braves | 53c | 39,360$20,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,591.85 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Braves | 56c | 37,500$21,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,419.92 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Braves | 56c | 25,166$13,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,198.04 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Nationals | 47c | 23,930$11,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,171.5 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Braves | 56c | 21,734$12,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,562.96 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nationals | 43c | 20,958$9,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,067.36 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 55c | 17,438$9,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,847.19 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 55c | 11,500$6,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 46c | 11,430$5,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,206.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Braves | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 43c | 10,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.95 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 55c | 9,966$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,484.81 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Nationals | 48c | 9,497$4,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.67 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Nationals | 13c | 8,554$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.11 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Braves | 56c | 5,000$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 56c | 4,714$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.14 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Braves | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 56c | 3,898$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Braves | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.96 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Braves | 56c | 3,596$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.31 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Braves | 70c | 3,588$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.98 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.84 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 57c | 3,218$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.69 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 36c | 2,800$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.8 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Braves | 56c | 2,486$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.4 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Braves | 51c | 2,483$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Braves | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.79 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Nationals | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 43c | 2,267$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Braves | 57c | 2,233$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.34 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Braves | 56c | 2,005$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Nationals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Nationals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Braves | 58c | 1,927$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.34 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 43c | 1,844$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Braves | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 39c | 1,549$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.47 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Braves | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Braves | 75c | 1,493$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braves | 57c | 1,461$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Nationals | 44c | 1,416$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.6 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Nationals | 32c | 1,400$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Braves | 40c | 1,334$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.54 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Nationals | 43c | 1,205$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Braves | 58c | 1,122$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.2 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Braves | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 9c | 1,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Braves | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Nationals | 43c | 920.19$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nationals | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 57c | 886$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.75 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 57c | 877$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…12c4backed Nationals | 40c | 822.14$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nationals | 26c | 794.76$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 47c | 779.69$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Braves | 58c | 749$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.08 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Nationals | 50c | 745.22$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.11 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 45c | 738.16$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.17 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Nationals | 28c | 725.88$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Braves | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Braves | 58c | 655.17$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Braves | 58c | 636.21$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.21 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Braves | 58c | 627.77$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 57c | 587$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.41 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Nationals | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Nationals | 8c | 556.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Braves | 75c | 527.03$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Braves | 57c | 523.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.29 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals | 47c | 522.62$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Braves | 57c | 481$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Braves | 77c | 465.96$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 25c | 452.39$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.02 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Braves | 58c | 451.3$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 3c | 449.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Braves | 51c | 446.02$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Nationals | 29c | 434.36$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Braves | 58c | 429$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Braves | 57c | 420.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 43c | 411.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 8c | 409.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Braves | 55c | 403.08$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.08 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Nationals | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Braves | 58c | 383$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.86 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Braves | 32c | 375.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.81 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Braves | 53c | 370$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.77 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Braves | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 42c | 350$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4d…2a47backed Nationals | 79c | 350$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Braves | 57c | 347.37$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 58c | 341$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braves vs. Nationalsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.