NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec9379f4622f960ed436a0ce8060ab503e7ec9942aa92dedd4e6871e3fe2a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Oilers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 6c | 4,000$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Oilers | 10c | 3,484$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.89 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Penguins | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.77 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Oilers | 67c | 2,949$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.45 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins | 35c | 2,059$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.68 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Oilers | 2c | 1,050$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Penguins | 33c | 1,015$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 69c | 1,000$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.88 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Oilers | 15c | 991.02$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 56c | 915.61$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…04cebacked Penguins | 44c | 897.45$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Oilers | 64c | 882.4$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.38 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 32c | 806.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.03 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Penguins | 33c | 648$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.16 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 50c | 632.2$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.71 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e0…3eabbacked Penguins | 49c | 551.08$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 2c | 547.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…1fb5backed Oilers | 8c | 545.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Penguins | 32c | 499.88$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.92 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed Penguins | 45c | 380$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Penguins | 52c | 356.03$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Oilers | 58c | 353.4$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Penguins | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 64c | 307.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Oilers | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 35c | 292.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Oilers | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Oilers | 67c | 267.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Penguins | 34c | 211.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Penguins | 32c | 206.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Oilers | 66c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers | 65c | 195$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Penguins | 61c | 183.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked Oilers | 57c | 178.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Penguins | 32c | 174.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3f…c91ebacked Oilers | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked Oilers | 68c | 154.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Oilers | 65c | 154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…8964backed Penguins | 34c | 153.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Oilers | 66c | 151.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Oilers | 67c | 148.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Oilers | 27c | 146.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…28febacked Oilers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 73c | 134.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Penguins | 33c | 128.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…a17bbacked Penguins | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…bc13backed Oilers | 54c | 121.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 17c | 120.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Oilers | 17c | 114.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…a376backed Oilers | 70c | 113.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Oilers | 65c | 104.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Penguins | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Oilers | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Oilers | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Oilers | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Penguins | 34c | 91.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…fb8fbacked Oilers | 68c | 86.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Penguins | 33c | 73.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…6987backed Oilers | 36c | 72.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Oilers | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Oilers | 66c | 65.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Penguins | 32c | 61.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Penguins | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…21aabacked Penguins | 36c | 56.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 41cpaid | +121%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…a98ebacked Penguins | 36c | 55.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Oilers | 27c | 54.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e3…b455backed Oilers | 19c | 54.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f2…2634backed Oilers | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…c9e8backed Penguins | 35c | 51.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…bb9ebacked Penguins | 35c | 51.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…d5ddbacked Penguins | 36c | 51.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Penguins | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…2bcebacked Oilers | 67c | 46.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…a34ebacked Penguins | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Oilers | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bf…9173backed Oilers | 65c | 41.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…240dbacked Oilers | 64c | 40.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Penguins | 46c | 38.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed Penguins | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Oilers | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Penguins | 31c | 36.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…4bd0backed Oilers | 64c | 35.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…55f6backed Oilers | 66c | 35.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ab…34cabacked Penguins | 34c | 35.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…3165backed Penguins | 35c | 35.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…fb4cbacked Oilers | 64c | 34.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…f2dabacked Penguins | 36c | 34.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…fcdbbacked Penguins | 35c | 34.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x525f…c6d9backed Penguins | 33c | 34.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…9f71backed Oilers | 65c | 33.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…8f13backed Penguins | 35c | 33.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…5a11backed Oilers | 65c | 33.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…ca65backed Penguins | 35c | 33.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1511backed Penguins | 34c | 32.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…2e9bbacked Penguins | 36c | 32.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…9468backed Penguins | 37c | 32.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.