MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x546636b5631437f6c1b6a8b2ad043d736996831ff6e17ea926c5c05def437095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $450,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 50c | 310,846$154,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154,320.69 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Athletics | 50c | 81,400$40,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,700 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 50c | 65,501$32,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,750.5 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 50c | 33,666$16,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,832.87 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Athletics | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 50c | 25,126$12,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,563 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Athletics | 52c | 16,753$8,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,108.75 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Athletics | 51c | 13,053$6,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396.17 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Athletics | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 52c | 6,644$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.44 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Twins | 8c | 5,057$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.73 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 5c | 4,946$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Athletics | 51c | 4,402$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Twins | 50c | 3,836$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 52c | 3,444$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.11 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 52c | 3,108$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.16 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Athletics | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Athletics | 52c | 2,564$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.17 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Twins | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,487$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.94 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 51c | 2,384$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.97 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Twins | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Athletics | 52c | 2,232$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.19 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…5fd2backed Twins | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Twins | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Twins | 47c | 1,602$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.77 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Athletics | 50c | 1,389$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.48 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Athletics | 65c | 1,380$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.78 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…667abacked Twins | 48c | 1,183$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…df6abacked Athletics | 52c | 1,156$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd0…647bbacked Athletics | 52c | 1,144$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec0…08ecbacked Twins | 48c | 1,117$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Twins | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Athletics | 51c | 1,019$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.07 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Athletics | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…8b69backed Athletics | 52c | 971$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…9c69backed Twins | 5c | 965$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…3010backed Athletics | 52c | 929$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 47c | 899.98$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Athletics | 65c | 863.17$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.52 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Athletics | 48c | 783.25$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.29 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Twins | 13c | 779.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 48c | 740.26$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.94 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Twins | 49c | 710.71$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.25 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 57c | 709$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.84 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 46c | 652$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Twins | 48c | 634.15$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.39 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Twins | 16c | 595.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Athletics | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Twins | 48c | 539.17$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 52c | 539.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 9c | 536.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Twins | 48c | 529.27$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.05 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Twins | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Twins | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Twins | 48c | 496.82$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.47 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics | 52c | 419$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.12 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Twins | 37c | 418.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.08 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Twins | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Athletics | 44c | 406$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Twins | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Athletics | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Athletics | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Twins | 52c | 346.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Twins | 49c | 295.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins | 49c | 295$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Athletics | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Twins | 48c | 267.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Athletics | 51c | 263$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 51c | 212.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Athletics | 51c | 204.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Athletics | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…e52bbacked Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Twinsthis page
- Athletics vs. Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.