TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Guardians vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Guardians, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rangers55c18,500$10,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,32548254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians45c12,637$5,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,686.761,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians39c8,429$3,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,256.632,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians45c5,800$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6101,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Rangers55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2506538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Guardians0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers54c3,666$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.521,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Rangers59c3,362$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.8612248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Guardians48c1,995$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.9863152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Guardians46c1,870$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.223455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rangers53c1,869$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.6421740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers56c1,644$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.471,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Guardians47c1,479$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.6569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Guardians46c1,130$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.811449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Guardians46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians5c1,016$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rangers52c963.4$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.436,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians47c899.99$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Guardians45c751.56$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.29237%34 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians46c479.34$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Guardians48c448.33$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2870946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Guardians47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Guardians46c399.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1843,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Rangers53c383$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0124253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba56…b1e3backed Guardians48c366.67$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Rangers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.648349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Rangers57c350$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.534051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians46c349.34$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9143949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Rangers59c336.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3517355.5%96 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers52c287.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.061,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers54c282.14$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7838047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rangers53c212.77$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Guardians48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers73c201.65$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.739,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4779…211fbacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2019…a6a9backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3236…8f9ebacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd6…966cbacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc94…72debacked Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b8…729cbacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba6…8340backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c32…3b86backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb290…27c5backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…c850backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0138…cdf1backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28fe…620bbacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948353%44 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb523…0d72backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb340…6b02backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef2…220bbacked Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f5…31d4backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc213…f12bbacked Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945250%26 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d18…f551backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x069c…ed7bbacked Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945046%23 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2916…bb5bbacked Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfffa…f24dbacked Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a1…99aabacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a0…a1c0backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf50e…b539backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e00…c26cbacked Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945054%27 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7c6…ce67backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab5…dce6backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9459…e52bbacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8be8…7066backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945050%25 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf01…0439backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945050%25 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…5d65backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ce…215fbacked Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a6…050cbacked Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945151%26 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf15e…23e4backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b1…9335backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca66…c18bbacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6b…122dbacked Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c6…8325backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…2522backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f3…94d4backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5581…12e8backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945046%23 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…0082backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947656.6%43 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e97…f811backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6718…41babacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x045f…bfe7backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479b…64e9backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af2…9d81backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5700…a6babacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeee…9989backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948055%44 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0c…9e00backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b1…e717backed Guardians47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947853.8%42 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d8…c629backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad26…e8efbacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc30…ee94backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947958.2%46 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1a0…8eb1backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947460.8%45 W · 29 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9803…f634backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948051.3%41 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…cd01backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947758.4%45 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdd…d3c6backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b70…5e72backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947958.2%46 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0674…2ccfbacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda42…4076backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f21…7c7fbacked Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947843.6%34 W · 44 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.