WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs. Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35a801ffe04c0e91c8017f88082042e57452249d0995a5ae066fc1003e360849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Aces, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Aces | 74c | 4,158$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.08 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 26c | 3,875$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.29 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mystics | 42c | 2,796$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.95 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Aces | 73c | 1,567$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.77 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mystics | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Aces | 74c | 934$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.84 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Mystics | 13c | 923.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mystics | 25c | 884$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.34 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Aces | 80c | 876.15$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Aces | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Aces | 61c | 738.94$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.23 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Mystics | 53c | 733.39$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mystics | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mystics | 2c | 698$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Aces | 73c | 660.93$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Mystics | 52c | 489.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mystics | 27c | 437.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Aces | 66c | 365.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 28c | 358.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Aces | 55c | 313.38$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.16 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Aces | 76c | 311.69$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Mystics | 38c | 250$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Mystics | 31c | 234.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…db37backed Mystics | 21c | 230.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Aces | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Mystics | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aces | 72c | 188.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Aces | 55c | 186.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Mystics | 22c | 183.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Mystics | 28c | 179.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Aces | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Mystics | 33c | 122.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Aces | 74c | 103.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Aces | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mystics | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Mystics | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…234cbacked Mystics | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Aces | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mystics | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed Aces | 75c | 58.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Mystics | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…635bbacked Mystics | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Aces | 74c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Aces | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Aces | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Aces | 74c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Aces | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…db4ebacked Aces | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.