WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f9f233517a56e2a72800d4e68a1ce7b51321452292acc370bd73a164f96bca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Mystics, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 18c | 6,176$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.82 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lynx | 58c | 4,338$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mystics | 38c | 3,086$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.18 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mystics | 17c | 2,784$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.22 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mystics | 36c | 2,414$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 71c | 1,905$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.62 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mystics | 16c | 1,760$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.59 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Mystics | 34c | 1,734$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.76 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mystics | 18c | 1,634$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.75 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…0c82backed Mystics | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Lynx | 64c | 873.04$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Mystics | 36c | 828.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Mystics | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mystics | 16c | 743.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked Lynx | 71c | 580.97$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…9434backed Mystics | 18c | 556.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Mystics | 20c | 512.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 20c | 503.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…aa49backed Mystics | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 29c | 499.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Lynx | 75c | 488.25$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mystics | 2c | 466.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mystics | 32c | 423.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Mystics | 29c | 350.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 17c | 299.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Mystics | 27c | 299.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mystics | 18c | 207.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lynx | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lynx | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Mystics | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Lynx | 64c | 183.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mystics | 13c | 162.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Lynx | 78c | 153.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Mystics | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Mystics | 24c | 100.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Mystics | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Mystics | 20c | 96.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mystics | 18c | 94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Lynx | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lynx | 74c | 92.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mystics | 23c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Lynx | 55c | 87.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Lynx | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Mystics | 27c | 63.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mystics | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Lynx | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Mystics | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…2f9dbacked Lynx | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lynx | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…47c6backed Lynx | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.