MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52c6584393fddf2d6f5682aaba689a07f9c8a9b78acc08be9a01453f8e738b62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof Twins, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Twins | 52c | 10,832$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.52 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Twins | 55c | 6,660$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Twins | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 48c | 5,528$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.56 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed White Sox | 46c | 3,794$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.66 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 52c | 3,209$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed White Sox | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 47c | 2,704$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.93 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Twins | 56c | 2,045$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.21 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Twins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Twins | 52c | 1,575$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.84 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 1c | 1,342$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.03 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 1c | 1,076$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Twins | 14c | 934.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 48c | 630.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.11 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed White Sox | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed White Sox | 47c | 456.62$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.34 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Twins | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Twins | 52c | 288$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Twins | 52c | 261.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 31c | 252.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Twins | 45c | 242.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 52c | 222.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Twins | 52c | 217.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Twins | 51c | 204.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 43c | 199.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Twins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked White Sox | 58c | 191$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 21c | 184.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 56c | 173.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…8235backed White Sox | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…6c73backed Twins | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Twins | 20c | 148.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…9f1abacked Twins | 55c | 145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2ac8backed White Sox | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b74…2bc1backed Twins | 55c | 143$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…1067backed White Sox | 45c | 143$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Twins | 56c | 129.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Twins | 19c | 125.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked White Sox | 69c | 122.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Twins | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 17c | 102.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 53c | 102.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…9c8fbacked Twins | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…29c3backed White Sox | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…5a9fbacked Twins | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…4d6dbacked White Sox | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Twins | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked White Sox | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Twins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Twins | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Twins | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox | 45c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox | 75c | 89.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox | 80c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Twins | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed White Sox | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Twins | 56c | 59.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Twins | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…e817backed White Sox | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Twins | 52c | 39.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Twins | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Twins | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Twins | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Twins | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.