MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd7b815099f3223f4e056a3e53373195f9964220b5dc742709dc8c324b37797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Rockies, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies | 38c | 48,000$18,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,239.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 62c | 26,008$16,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,883.17 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies | 37c | 15,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.93 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pirates | 62c | 11,722$7,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.76 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Pirates | 62c | 11,478$7,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.52 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 37c | 8,020$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.38 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 62c | 7,663$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.94 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pirates | 63c | 5,536$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Rockies | 28c | 3,666$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.48 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rockies | 36c | 3,420$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.15 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Pirates | 63c | 3,133$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Pirates | 62c | 2,995$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.11 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Rockies | 38c | 2,630$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pirates | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 2c | 2,264$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…216cbacked Pirates | 62c | 1,608$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 62c | 1,405$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.08 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 38c | 1,231$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.78 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rockies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockies | 38c | 889$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.93 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Rockies | 32c | 865$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rockies | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 38c | 789$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Pirates | 63c | 784.84$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Rockies | 38c | 673.68$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Rockies | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockies | 2c | 550$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 38c | 538$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.44 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rockies | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Rockies | 39c | 515.38$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 38c | 488.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies | 38c | 488.59$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Pirates | 77c | 483.76$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…7c8cbacked Pirates | 63c | 473.81$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…7b0ebacked Rockies | 38c | 473.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies | 39c | 432.21$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Pirates | 63c | 397.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Pirates | 62c | 324.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rockies | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockies | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 62c | 248.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rockies | 41c | 240.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rockies | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Pirates | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Pirates | 63c | 136.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Pirates | 62c | 136$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rockies | 38c | 131.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 29c | 126.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…0783backed Rockies | 38c | 123.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…b168backed Pirates | 63c | 123.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 63c | 123.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Pirates | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 36c | 107.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 40c | 105.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockies | 39c | 100.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rockies | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Rockies | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Rockies | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rockies | 38c | 81.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Rockies | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies | 36c | 69.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Rockies | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Pirates | 62c | 57.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rockies | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Rockies | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…82c4backed Rockies | 38c | 46.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 61c | 45.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Rockies | 37c | 40.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…4b48backed Rockies | 38c | 39.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Pirates | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…f0bbbacked Pirates | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c0…cb04backed Rockies | 38c | 30.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockies vs. Piratesthis page
- Rockies vs. Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.