WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs. Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835643b009cd4a61fa5fdee6c0c612c22d10227670c1a5634b28385639d42ba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Fever, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Fever | 17c | 13,838$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.19 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Fever | 13c | 5,987$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Fever | 1c | 4,100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Fever | 18c | 4,068$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.41 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fever | 8c | 3,004$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.18 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Fever | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 78c | 2,100$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Fever | 25c | 1,848$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Fever | 16c | 1,564$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.98 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Fever | 14c | 1,555$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.69 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Lynx | 78c | 1,328$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Fever | 24c | 1,190$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.46 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Fever | 19c | 1,140$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…85f4backed Lynx | 70c | 1,067$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.33 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Fever | 14c | 674$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fever | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever | 18c | 542.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Fever | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Fever | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Fever | 14c | 382.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Fever | 11c | 373.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…5bddbacked Fever | 15c | 326.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Fever | 15c | 324$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Fever | 16c | 314.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Fever | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Fever | 16c | 243.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Fever | 15c | 203.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fever | 15c | 199.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Fever | 15c | 163.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Fever | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…aa7abacked Lynx | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Fever | 14c | 149.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fever | 14c | 143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6871backed Lynx | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Lynx | 80c | 133.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Fever | 17c | 133.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fever | 14c | 128.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Fever | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Fever | 33c | 121.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…b62abacked Fever | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lynx | 79c | 119.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…faa2backed Fever | 15c | 111.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fever | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Fever | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Fever | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Fever | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Fever | 14c | 99.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Fever | 15c | 74.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…6040backed Fever | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Lynx | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Fever | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Lynx | 75c | 59.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Fever | 34c | 59.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lynx | 65c | 57.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lynx | 76c | 40.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Fever | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Fever | 28c | 35.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…183ebacked Lynx | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…199dbacked Lynx | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.