TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Padresof Giants, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,231,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,206,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,231,078 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants38c845,948$321,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,345.5338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres62c523,998$325,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198,661.911,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres62c199,942$123,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,978.1335952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Giants38c78,209$29,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,719.4317351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Giants38c46,970$17,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,848.719749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Padres62c45,942$28,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,517.5255053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres62c39,600$24,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,04822852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Padres62c26,315$16,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,999.8617156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres62c22,876$14,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,726.361,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Padres63c18,800$11,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,902.2115650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres62c17,475$10,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,640.3748254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Giants37c17,390$6,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,434.1956451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants38c15,111$5,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,742.1860249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres63c13,648$8,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,076.4763152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Giants38c12,049$4,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,583.8133845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Padres63c8,040$5,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.813065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Giants38c7,969$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.3526949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Giants36c6,904$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.5254051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Giants0c6,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres63c5,757$3,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.792,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Padres63c5,348$3,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.7625453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed Giants37c5,020$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.43135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Padres53c4,451$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.279,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Giants61c4,416$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70225454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Padres54c4,100$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.721747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Giants37c3,814$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.5721767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Giants1c3,646$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.138762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed Padres63c3,340$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants39c2,701$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.3783248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Giants24c2,400$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58230151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0475…3cc5backed Giants39c2,100$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Padres62c2,050$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77938751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ccc…660ebacked Giants39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9879…105abacked Giants39c1,900$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-72.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres63c1,889$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.981,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Padres62c1,824$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.198944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0423…018abacked Giants11c1,774$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres62c1,767$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.191,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Giants37c1,590$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.331347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Padres63c1,506$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.228356.6%47 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f2…1742backed Giants42c1,372$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.692138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Giants37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20de…5b24backed Giants37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.87837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Padres63c1,342$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.059947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x379c…6f54backed Giants39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+59.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants13c1,253$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.666645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Giants38c1,242$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.9550843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf97…beb5backed Padres49c1,161$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf143…f5d9backed Padres61c1,115$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Giants1c1,103$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1455152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f9…c621backed Padres61c1,066$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…4dc1backed Giants39c1,059$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.395930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18e…28d2backed Padres61c1,033$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Padres49c1,029$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.781850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa5…a0d7backed Giants40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3930…13b0backed Giants51c990$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc99b…7d85backed Padres61c985$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Padres61c983.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6112248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49b2…b373backed Padres61c980$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc90…aec4backed Padres61c970$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266d…facabacked Padres61c967$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5309…05aebacked Padres61c944$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Giants59c935.46$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.9211446.5%53 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Giants38c900$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34232042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xffbf…0824backed Giants39c891$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.49955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres49c853.5$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.424,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503c…ddeabacked Padres61c834$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.26757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Giants38c821.98$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3524547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Giants37c809.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.531,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c7…5d54backed Giants39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Padres62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30413359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e6…669abacked Giants39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Giants39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Giants41c739.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Padres60c720$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28823455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeef…21a8backed Padres63c716$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Giants13c700$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9045732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Giants5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…0c2cbacked Padres61c689$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+71.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeef3…fb40backed Padres61c656$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.845100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Giants40c651.96$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7824253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Padres34c638.76$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.7653448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aea…03b2backed Padres63c635$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Padres63c604.1$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5223248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab0c…361cbacked Padres61c593$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.27850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Giants38c549$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6244443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants57c537.5$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3868769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41d7…278bbacked Padres60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4670…05b0backed Padres60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Giants40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Giants38c492.73$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2451347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Giants41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Padres44c456.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1311331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Padres70c437.5$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.881,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Giants8c409.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0627213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Padres44c408.65$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.326,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Giants38c381.97$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.554345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.