MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39157a6952be5ebc3fb0188a1a219e7c0e737577d0edf61b0b8999e5330d63e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Giants, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,231,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,206,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,231,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants | 38c | 845,948$321,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321,345.53 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 62c | 523,998$325,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,661.91 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 62c | 199,942$123,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,978.13 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Giants | 38c | 78,209$29,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,719.43 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Giants | 38c | 46,970$17,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,848.71 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 62c | 45,942$28,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,517.52 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 62c | 39,600$24,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,048 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Padres | 62c | 26,315$16,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.86 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 62c | 22,876$14,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,726.36 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Padres | 63c | 18,800$11,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,902.21 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 62c | 17,475$10,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,640.37 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Giants | 37c | 17,390$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.19 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 38c | 15,111$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,742.18 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 63c | 13,648$8,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.47 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Giants | 38c | 12,049$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.81 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Padres | 63c | 8,040$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.8 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Giants | 38c | 7,969$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.35 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Giants | 36c | 6,904$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.52 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Giants | 0c | 6,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 63c | 5,757$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 63c | 5,348$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.76 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Giants | 37c | 5,020$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 53c | 4,451$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.27 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Giants | 61c | 4,416$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Padres | 54c | 4,100$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.7 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Giants | 37c | 3,814$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.57 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Giants | 1c | 3,646$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Padres | 63c | 3,340$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 39c | 2,701$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.37 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Giants | 24c | 2,400$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…3cc5backed Giants | 39c | 2,100$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 62c | 2,050$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…660ebacked Giants | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…105abacked Giants | 39c | 1,900$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 63c | 1,889$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.98 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Padres | 62c | 1,824$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.19 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0423…018abacked Giants | 11c | 1,774$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 62c | 1,767$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.19 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Giants | 37c | 1,590$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.3 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Padres | 63c | 1,506$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.22 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Giants | 42c | 1,372$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Giants | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…5b24backed Giants | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Padres | 63c | 1,342$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.05 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379c…6f54backed Giants | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants | 13c | 1,253$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Giants | 38c | 1,242$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.95 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Padres | 49c | 1,161$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…f5d9backed Padres | 61c | 1,115$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Giants | 1c | 1,103$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…c621backed Padres | 61c | 1,066$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…4dc1backed Giants | 39c | 1,059$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.3 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…28d2backed Padres | 61c | 1,033$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Padres | 49c | 1,029$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…a0d7backed Giants | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…13b0backed Giants | 51c | 990$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99b…7d85backed Padres | 61c | 985$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Padres | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…b373backed Padres | 61c | 980$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc90…aec4backed Padres | 61c | 970$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…facabacked Padres | 61c | 967$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…05aebacked Padres | 61c | 944$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Giants | 59c | 935.46$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.92 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Giants | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…0824backed Giants | 39c | 891$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 49c | 853.5$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.42 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…ddeabacked Padres | 61c | 834$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Giants | 38c | 821.98$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.35 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 37c | 809.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.53 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…5d54backed Giants | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Padres | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…669abacked Giants | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Giants | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Giants | 41c | 739.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Padres | 60c | 720$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeef…21a8backed Padres | 63c | 716$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Giants | 13c | 700$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…0c2cbacked Padres | 61c | 689$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…fb40backed Padres | 61c | 656$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Giants | 40c | 651.96$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.78 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Padres | 34c | 638.76$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.76 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…03b2backed Padres | 63c | 635$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Padres | 63c | 604.1$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…361cbacked Padres | 61c | 593$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Giants | 38c | 549$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.62 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants | 57c | 537.5$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.38 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…278bbacked Padres | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…05b0backed Padres | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Giants | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Giants | 38c | 492.73$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Giants | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Padres | 44c | 456.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.13 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 70c | 437.5$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.88 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Giants | 8c | 409.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 44c | 408.65$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.32 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 38c | 381.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Padresthis page
- Giants vs. Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Padres (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.