TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Lynx vs Liberty

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lynxof Lynx, Liberty
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e94…6243backed Liberty59c3,944$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.97440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Liberty57c3,587$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.997327.4%20 W · 53 L-10.3wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Lynx42c3,474$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.011861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx39c3,147$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.8213044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Liberty62c2,420$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Lynx41c2,054$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.848633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lynx40c2,050$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23023931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Lynx40c2,008$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.98633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Lynx38c1,502$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.743246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Liberty61c1,312$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.5914450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Liberty63c1,199$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.37650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Liberty62c1,067$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.5wins-0.51per pick65cpaid-73%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liberty61c997.99$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.297542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Lynx42c869$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.022626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Liberty59c841$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.619142.4%81 W · 110 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Liberty49c751.4$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8131847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liberty58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012463.7%79 W · 45 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed Lynx37c646.56$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3210…5c4ebacked Lynx39c620.13$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lynx39c600$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36612840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Liberty59c573.87$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.877851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Liberty60c519$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.44858.3%28 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Liberty60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Liberty59c500$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2971947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Liberty60c411.2$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Liberty59c393.18$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.856850%34 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Lynx41c344$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.962853.6%15 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Liberty59c338$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Liberty29c330$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68c…eda5backed Liberty61c328.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Lynx39c299.98$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.992050%10 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Liberty55c294.89$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.83943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Liberty60c275$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.8wins-0.54per pick68cpaid-81.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Lynx39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+42.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lynx78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5715246.7%71 W · 81 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lynx40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15017541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lynx41c241.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2623431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Liberty61c240$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.41471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Lynx42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.127232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Lynx36c230$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Liberty60c217.46$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.438837.5%33 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Liberty60c214$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Liberty58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Liberty28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562425%6 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Lynx39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12221337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Liberty61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-76.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Liberty62c171.21$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.54358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Lynx41c170.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.731050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Lynx40c165.18$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.572646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…9481backed Liberty58c142.5$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c4…40cdbacked Lynx40c139$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Lynx52c137.42$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Lynx39c134.09$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.179839.8%39 W · 59 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Liberty59c133.37$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.955147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Lynx39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.214050%20 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Lynx40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Lynx43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.285633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Liberty57c113.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.978839.8%35 W · 53 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Lynx39c102.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liberty66c101.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.022951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lynx40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8520642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f7…4489backed Liberty60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb7…9e35backed Lynx41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Liberty60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3248…fb7ebacked Liberty60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Lynx39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6112833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…f9bebacked Liberty60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Liberty64c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.26560%39 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Liberty55c77.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.283473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Liberty63c77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5212548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Lynx41c76.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.064042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Lynx39c69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.097855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Lynx38c64.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.961631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e7…8580backed Liberty66c54.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f99…27f5backed Lynx42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c49…a3cebacked Liberty68c49.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c9…95bbbacked Liberty32c49.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Lynx41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.785234.6%18 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x107a…4bc4backed Lynx41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lynx40c46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.68548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Lynx38c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.914136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x282f…ac8dbacked Lynx42c41.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.171275%9 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+72.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x164c…3e39backed Lynx42c40.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Liberty60c33.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.812330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd86…ab78backed Lynx39c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfe…f8b9backed Liberty62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Lynx39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.34264.3%27 W · 15 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4884…9b0abacked Lynx40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x142c…1098backed Lynx46c27.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.782450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff8b…effcbacked Lynx41c26.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.83425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Liberty60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.952254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff76…11c9backed Lynx40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+92.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaece…c992backed Liberty62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Liberty61c20.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Liberty62c19.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb160…9681backed Liberty62c19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f99…95bdbacked Lynx79c18.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ad…28a3backed Liberty60c18.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.