MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Red Sox Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab659fad5d4ac52abc79f01f171a1c9c7afbd850b539e2ea38e4344938787176
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 63c | 78,256$49,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,237.28 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 37c | 42,114$15,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,752.68 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Red Sox | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 37c | 10,000$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yankees | 79c | 5,536$4,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.9 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Red Sox | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Sox | 61c | 4,917$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.01 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Red Sox | 38c | 4,500$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Red Sox | 15c | 3,149$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.97 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…f499backed Yankees | 39c | 2,960$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Red Sox | 46c | 2,548$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.71 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Red Sox | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Red Sox | 37c | 2,270$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 37c | 2,206$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Red Sox | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Red Sox | 35c | 1,746$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.02 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Red Sox | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.98 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Red Sox | 37c | 1,474$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.78 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Red Sox | 41c | 1,457$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.64 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Red Sox | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yankees | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Red Sox | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed Yankees | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 18c | 573$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…5403backed Red Sox | 37c | 566.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Yankees | 38c | 557.89$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…94abbacked Yankees | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yankees | 56c | 395$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…dc0abacked Red Sox | 63c | 328.25$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Red Sox | 37c | 250.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Red Sox | 43c | 244$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Sox | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Red Sox | 40c | 197.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yankees | 38c | 196$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Red Sox | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Yankees | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yankees | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed Yankees | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Red Sox | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…f9bebacked Red Sox | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yankees | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked Yankees | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Red Sox | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Red Sox | 64c | 92.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Red Sox | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Yankees | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yankees | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yankees | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed Red Sox | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…c108backed Yankees | 64c | 44.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…b695backed Red Sox | 37c | 43.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…0b0ebacked Yankees | 64c | 43.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d08…8e85backed Red Sox | 37c | 42.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked Yankees | 66c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Red Sox | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…1ec2backed Yankees | 64c | 29.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…30c0backed Red Sox | 37c | 28.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…48c8backed Yankees | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.