WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4614d98d90c9d27de79acf68931fad67549a4a04274a8c8bb85ff4bc06cc3afe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Dream, Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mercury | 45c | 16,882$7,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,542.99 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dream | 36c | 11,044$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,067.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mercury | 64c | 7,381$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.39 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mercury | 51c | 6,949$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.2 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Mercury | 51c | 5,560$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Dream | 59c | 3,633$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Dream | 77c | 3,510$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Dream | 54c | 3,408$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Dream | 43c | 3,300$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Dream | 46c | 3,067$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.54 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mercury | 62c | 2,677$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…9517backed Dream | 79c | 2,458$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Mercury | 44c | 2,437$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Dream | 38c | 2,197$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dream | 38c | 2,058$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.43 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Mercury | 48c | 1,623$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Dream | 40c | 1,490$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.7 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mercury | 62c | 1,432$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.51per pick | 65cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Dream | 40c | 1,214$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.4 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mercury | 60c | 1,212$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.1 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Mercury | 50c | 1,046$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.94 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dream | 50c | 939.67$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.03 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Dream | 49c | 927$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercury | 61c | 921$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.19 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Dream | 41c | 902.44$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dream | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mercury | 60c | 796.63$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.98 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mercury | 3c | 772.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mercury | 56c | 760$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.6 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Dream | 40c | 633.64$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.33 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mercury | 63c | 610.35$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.85 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dream | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dream | 55c | 586.29$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Dream | 79c | 504.71$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Dream | 46c | 500$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mercury | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Mercury | 60c | 491.8$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Mercury | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Dream | 49c | 380$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Mercury | 53c | 361.35$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Dream | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Mercury | 41c | 349.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Mercury | 63c | 343.42$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Dream | 57c | 332.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Dream | 56c | 323.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Dream | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Dream | 76c | 290$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked Dream | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mercury | 61c | 254.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mercury | 62c | 246$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Dream | 40c | 240$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Dream | 54c | 238.89$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dream | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dream | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Dream | 59c | 225.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Mercury | 60c | 216.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mercury | 55c | 211.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Dream | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dream | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Dream | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Mercury | 47c | 170$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mercury | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mercury | 41c | 154.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Dream | 38c | 151.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mercury | 62c | 144$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Dream | 38c | 141.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercury | 51c | 137.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Dream | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Dream | 50c | 118.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mercury | 62c | 115.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mercury | 48c | 113.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…19f2backed Dream | 79c | 105.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dream | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…f9bebacked Mercury | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…11c9backed Dream | 40c | 80.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mercury | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Mercury | 62c | 79.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Dream | 41c | 73.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Dream | 49c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mercury | 61c | 67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Mercury | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Dream | 58c | 63.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Mercury | 42c | 63.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…e581backed Dream | 54c | 55.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mercury | 62c | 52.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…82b5backed Mercury | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Dream | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Dream | 44c | 48.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Dream | 37c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Mercury | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Dream | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Dream | 41c | 42.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Mercury | 48c | 41.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef5b…a468backed Dream | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…b328backed Mercury | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Dream | 50c | 30.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Dream | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Dream | 60c | 25.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Dream | 56c | 24.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Dream | 57c | 23.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.