TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa983…46a3backed Dodgers52c37,672$19,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,939.7711345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Dodgers51c31,350$15,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,361.2638043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres48c25,259$12,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,124.281,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers52c16,500$8,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,92048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres49c16,284$7,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,979.1635952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Padres49c12,245$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Padres53c9,692$5,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,152.6721747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres48c9,600$4,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6081,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers34c9,370$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,155.5945248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres48c8,860$4,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,252.830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Padres32c6,078$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.142,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Padres48c6,000$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.9656451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Padres42c5,980$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5107455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Padres32c5,300$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.6554345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers51c4,435$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.5463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Padres35c3,579$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.099,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres49c3,020$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4802,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c4…40cdbacked Dodgers41c2,460$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.0510154.5%55 W · 46 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Dodgers60c2,046$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.2669249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Padres46c2,041$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.6824551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Padres48c1,943$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.6418748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Padres53c1,888$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf54…3386backed Dodgers63c1,500$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.572458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Dodgers77c1,489$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0768769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Padres50c1,463$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.3911449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Padres39c1,462$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.0243946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1de…ef38backed Dodgers60c1,318$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Padres23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Padres46c1,091$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50080955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Padres48c1,029$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.846058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Padres49c968.91$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.771,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Dodgers52c961.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5328042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers57c881.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.5826651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Dodgers49c822.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3318155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Padres49c765$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.856347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers57c700.48$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.081,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Dodgers70c662.44$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.789554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Padres49c609$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4123455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Padres51c588$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.881,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c04cbacked Dodgers52c537.88$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.181668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07b0…7c8cbacked Padres49c537.78$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Padres49c495.47$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Padres50c491.02$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.62552%13 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Padres42c475.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.830740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Dodgers46c471.55$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.1819356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Padres55c459.68$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.031,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Dodgers50c427.57$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Dodgers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Dodgers25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9b…5722backed Dodgers51c394.87$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2810057%57 W · 43 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Padres51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba56…b1e3backed Dodgers50c352$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa550…3885backed Padres50c340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Padres41c332.72$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.119645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres49c306$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9431347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dodgers33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Padres48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9921538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Dodgers39c256.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9253448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Dodgers51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8816659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Padres50c200.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.282,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Padres49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9718249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834b…a37ebacked Padres51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f70…63b2backed Dodgers62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Dodgers55c182.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.239237%34 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres50c181$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.51,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres35c166.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.114,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26bb…cddcbacked Dodgers32c158.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+157.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d4…90c1backed Dodgers50c155$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b6…e624backed Padres50c155$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Dodgers52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8546631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4b…aba8backed Padres50c150.82$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Padres58c140$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6160052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Padres72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017355.5%96 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Padres50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6054455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Dodgers56c114.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.291,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Dodgers27c111.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4854441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Padres49c111$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3924351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Padres41c110$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.118446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Dodgers45c108.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.646,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Padres13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Padres48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4866751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4439436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c40…ea3dbacked Dodgers58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ae…fb25backed Padres51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd94d…82d9backed Dodgers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x839c…5ad1backed Padres51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f42…d450backed Dodgers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05db…65e8backed Dodgers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Padres49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Padres49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4924444.3%108 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Padres50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Padres50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015543.9%68 W · 87 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…8db3backed Dodgers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2b…5da8backed Padres51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x335c…4e17backed Padres51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Padres54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5456440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Dodgers51c96.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0385047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.