Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a1e7ac9a71220c25874c51ce7f1962142017b485fee8189adc4c0fcbe28c177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 49c | 2,386$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.44 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Over | 66c | 1,458$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.22 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 38c | 1,373$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.24 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 61c | 1,122$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.5 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Under | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Under | 47c | 898.94$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.44 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 66c | 810$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.5 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Under | 48c | 800$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.65 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 34c | 790$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.4 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 55c | 545.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.82 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…ffb2backed Under | 36c | 527.51$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 33c | 523.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.95 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Over | 51c | 512.88$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 66c | 474.24$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Under | 33c | 451.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.91 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9223…26a9backed Under | 70c | 451.98$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Under | 30c | 450$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Under | 71c | 442$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 66c | 435.76$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.6 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Under | 71c | 394.57$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Over | 65c | 299.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Under | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Over | 69c | 290.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Over | 51c | 290$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Under | 71c | 255.65$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Over | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 207 | 64.3%133 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 11c | 226.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 46c | 218.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Under | 31c | 215.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 55c | 204$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 50c | 199.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 65c | 197.45$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Under | 75c | 192.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…629fbacked Under | 66c | 163.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 34c | 162$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 47c | 157.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 63c | 132.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Over | 11c | 120.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…2716backed Over | 68c | 120$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 34c | 115.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…519ebacked Over | 46c | 110.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 66c | 109.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 38c | 105.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Under | 73c | 90.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 84.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Under | 34c | 75.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 468 | 46.8%219 W · 249 L | -23.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Under | 63c | 68.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -12.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…cdbdbacked Over | 30c | 67.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 62c | 58.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 36c | 57.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…17aabacked Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…b3c2backed Under | 51c | 45.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…ab74backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 66c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 71c | 33.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…73e6backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Over | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Under | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Under | 62c | 22.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 237 | 42.2%100 W · 137 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Under | 77c | 18.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerLGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.