Us Politics · resolved market
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc2bd8cbba68f1fe46e89445b61e2c581ea96527438889eb749a852fba647920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 12,586$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.78 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 3c | 9,933$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 6,427$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,754$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,624$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 6c | 3,046$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.61 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed Yes | 6c | 2,859$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,832$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.61 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,623$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…f2b9backed Yes | 6c | 2,554$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa94…0b43backed Yes | 3c | 2,408$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 4c | 2,194$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 5c | 2,128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…b3b5backed Yes | 4c | 2,073$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfc…d0a0backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…c843backed Yes | 6c | 1,928$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,797$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe191…97cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,339$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…14debacked Yes | 4c | 1,336$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…0a13backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…d714backed Yes | 8c | 1,291$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 1,205$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 4c | 1,186$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes | 4c | 1,138$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…eefcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,098$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…e436backed Yes | 2c | 1,062$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,051$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7610…c322backed Yes | 5c | 1,035$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…5de7backed Yes | 7c | 1,033$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f3a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,003$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 967.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b3…1297backed Yes | 6c | 935.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 2c | 933.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 910$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 2c | 881.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…e69fbacked Yes | 6c | 873.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…7ebfbacked Yes | 3c | 862.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 788.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 769.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 2c | 741.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 724.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…9952backed Yes | 7c | 723.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…85b8backed Yes | 2c | 690.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes | 2c | 678.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d0…6555backed Yes | 2c | 647.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…6d56backed Yes | 10c | 624.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…241cbacked Yes | 6c | 563.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b4f5backed Yes | 5c | 431.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 5c | 403$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 4c | 401$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…5025backed Yes | 11c | 390.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…388bbacked Yes | 6c | 389.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…1870backed Yes | 4c | 386.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 3c | 380.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…5903backed Yes | 6c | 370$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 5c | 366.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb998…d9b2backed Yes | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 308.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fe…e7debacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aea…ee37backed Yes | 5c | 296.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a1…7b89backed Yes | 6c | 226.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…83b8backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…b431backed Yes | 5c | 212.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…348fbacked Yes | 5c | 196.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6736…058cbacked Yes | 7c | 161.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…1bb7backed Yes | 8c | 132.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.