MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x481fadb538022d67334c33cad34c6646da1bcc8dd412b4a79ac74b5ce26840d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof Guardians, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 45c | 4,825$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.89 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox | 45c | 4,520$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.93 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Guardians | 55c | 4,476$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.27 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 55c | 3,433$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 50c | 2,935$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Guardians | 55c | 2,727$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.52 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 46c | 2,697$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.38 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 56c | 2,448$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.37 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 46c | 1,849$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.15 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guardians | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.35 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox | 43c | 1,755$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.35 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 55c | 1,550$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.04 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 54c | 1,500$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.02 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Guardians | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Guardians | 58c | 1,357$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.83 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 36c | 1,336$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.49 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 44c | 1,260$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed White Sox | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.98 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed White Sox | 46c | 1,003$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.43 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Guardians | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Guardians | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox | 43c | 945.39$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.87 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed White Sox | 43c | 820$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.4 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed White Sox | 46c | 806.16$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.33 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed White Sox | 44c | 772.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.75 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Guardians | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Guardians | 51c | 597.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.97 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Guardians | 57c | 586.37$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.23 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 16c | 577.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Guardians | 54c | 553.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 45c | 516.52$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.78 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed White Sox | 75c | 477.83$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked White Sox | 43c | 475.41$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.98 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 72c | 467.73$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 46c | 434$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Guardians | 57c | 421.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.22 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 24c | 394.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox | 42c | 387.64$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.83 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Guardians | 51c | 382.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed White Sox | 60c | 340.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked White Sox | 43c | 316.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.33 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Guardians | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Guardians | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Guardians | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Guardians | 44c | 289.72$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Guardians | 55c | 266.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 55c | 265$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Guardians | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Guardians | 20c | 254$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 47c | 238.91$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed White Sox | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd971…4471backed Guardians | 55c | 214$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked White Sox | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Guardians | 39c | 200.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…f478backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…0170backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…413abacked Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…670dbacked White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…3aa3backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…be8fbacked Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…0838backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…fbbebacked White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…d24cbacked Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…602bbacked White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c54abacked Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…ed58backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…8197backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…b281backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1e7abacked Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…ced0backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…0071backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…a93dbacked White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…1270backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…f4f6backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…3adfbacked White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.