MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab05824546af6cd0ef3674c358bbab0cdd0a60c7fa78666646a65ff67b34de7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Blue Jays, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 54,022$25,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,084.93 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Dodgers | 52c | 16,287$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,786.71 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Dodgers | 60c | 15,017$8,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,028.33 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Dodgers | 57c | 9,770$5,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.09 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 57c | 7,522$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.39 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 58c | 6,235$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.57 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Dodgers | 58c | 6,212$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.58 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Blue Jays | 41c | 5,002$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 56c | 4,832$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Dodgers | 60c | 4,547$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.64 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 5c | 4,473$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.89 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 11c | 3,818$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 3,695$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.57 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Dodgers | 59c | 3,622$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.02 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 57c | 3,205$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Blue Jays | 24c | 3,176$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Dodgers | 58c | 3,000$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers | 74c | 2,772$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.67 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 41c | 2,536$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.32 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Blue Jays | 42c | 2,391$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.89 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,320$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.76 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers | 59c | 2,294$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.71 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 41c | 2,248$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.68 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Blue Jays | 19c | 2,189$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.97 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 1,827$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.5 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,737$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.71 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Blue Jays | 40c | 1,706$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.27 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 58c | 1,524$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.02 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Dodgers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Blue Jays | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Dodgers | 59c | 955.52$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.52 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Dodgers | 52c | 792.5$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.1 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 58c | 698.84$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Dodgers | 52c | 623.19$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.19 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 620$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.2 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Blue Jays | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 59c | 499.97$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Dodgers | 59c | 497$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Blue Jays | 41c | 487.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Dodgers | 59c | 469.71$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.58 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Blue Jays | 45c | 446.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers | 55c | 371.56$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Dodgers | 59c | 370.92$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 41c | 365$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Blue Jays | 47c | 349.48$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Blue Jays | 45c | 332.22$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Blue Jays | 41c | 322.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Blue Jays | 50c | 313.57$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 22c | 298.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays | 49c | 295.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers | 58c | 293.39$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Blue Jays | 42c | 280.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers | 76c | 253.95$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Dodgers | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Blue Jays | 48c | 249.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Dodgers | 59c | 244.07$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 234.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Blue Jays | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 57c | 220.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 220.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Blue Jays | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Dodgers | 62c | 219.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Dodgers | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Dodgers | 54c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 187.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Blue Jays | 40c | 174.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 167.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Dodgers | 60c | 167.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Dodgers | 61c | 160.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Dodgers | 63c | 158.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Blue Jays | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays | 42c | 135.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Blue Jays | 42c | 133.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…eaf1backed Blue Jays | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Blue Jays | 11c | 130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Dodgers | 59c | 127.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Dodgers | 58c | 111$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…a70fbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7051…d202backed Blue Jays | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa460…f9b9backed Blue Jays | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Blue Jays | 15c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Blue Jays | 40c | 87.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8d…8126backed Dodgers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.