TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,494 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes22c2,539$562 inLost-$5627240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69c8…0fe8backed Yes8c1,196$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23e…1461backed Yes16c687.99$108 inLost-$108.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No77c635$489 inWon+$146.252045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No70c605.24$423 inWon+$181.999343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4732…2f88backed Yes9c550$50 inLost-$49.52347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fd…a86ebacked Yes19c520.51$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes25c205$51 inLost-$51.25147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-76.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cad…ca89backed Yes10c203.9$20 inLost-$20.2550%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c197.06$22 inLost-$22.021877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No61c110.26$67 inWon+$4313048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1efebacked Yes15c100.67$15 inLost-$14.660%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost-$253135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x731f…5dd8backed Yes25c80$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe8…6444backed Yes24c63.38$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.