TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Mets, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e94…6243backed Mets18c4,400$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.5754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Mets48c4,245$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.625453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets7c4,220$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6ea5backed Brewers52c3,900$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8722751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Brewers50c3,557$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.2320850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers54c2,698$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.9225454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Mets50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers60c2,421$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.1325551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets47c2,395$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.422,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Brewers52c1,726$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.4838047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mets48c1,672$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.21,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets45c1,647$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.869,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Mets52c1,424$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.5838444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mets46c1,334$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.6193240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Mets48c1,200$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.991,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets46c1,151$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.461,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Brewers53c999.97$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.981,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mets46c889.23$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.055,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mets50c878$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.346,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Mets13c846.78$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6243946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Mets44c834.66$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.2553150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers63c824$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3518837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Mets45c808$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Brewers55c790.18$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5823455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers54c699$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5451953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers54c697.71$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.0488549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Brewers58c657.78$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2754048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Mets23c646.04$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5923545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers43c637.82$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.8266645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Mets42c623.81$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26241747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets3c552.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.035053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7d…0a62backed Brewers56c537.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.665764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Brewers50c516.06$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.032941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Mets47c459.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1916651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Brewers35c423.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8819239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Brewers52c381.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.256550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Brewers53c304$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5739041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mets4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mets46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Brewers54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13811741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets47c299.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14183248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers53c283$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.011,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Brewers54c278.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.325551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Brewers45c270$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.49447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mets47c240.26$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9243247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers53c230$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.11,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbccd…6aeebacked Mets48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004045%18 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7752…490bbacked Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe52…8d34backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ad…afb5backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4258…2612backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905538.2%21 W · 34 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ea7…b555backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb033…88e6backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbf…f78fbacked Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905139.2%20 W · 31 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6caa…d782backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea21…9033backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfa…2fa8backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…a521backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8187…fbe2backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab77…cd04backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46fe…78dabacked Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905366%35 W · 18 L+9.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf6ff…42f7backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6204…cc30backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9194…cc43backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905362.3%33 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97cd…1d85backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1e5…0bccbacked Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa393…f478backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905149%25 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x806e…2d21backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905330.2%16 W · 37 L-11.2wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x634a…af2cbacked Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905044%22 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce4f…0170backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf45…413abacked Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ebb…670dbacked Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79d7…a553backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb65a…3aa3backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1138…be8fbacked Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e3…fbbebacked Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfb…18d9backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…d24cbacked Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5e7…c54abacked Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb79f…8197backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcf3…b281backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba6…8340backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…1e7abacked Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee1…a478backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0900…ced0backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56f5…0071backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f1…a93dbacked Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905042%21 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc3…1270backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905461.1%33 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea60…f4f6backed Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905367.9%36 W · 17 L+9.3wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf397…3adfbacked Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfea…35d3backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905158.8%30 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x436b…c7ccbacked Mets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe96b…3394backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905062%31 W · 19 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x144b…199ebacked Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905433.3%18 W · 36 L-9.3wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb6fd…1753backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905255.8%29 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4582…70c6backed Brewers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.