Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0d6717d354137d953b18ead3027447c092a624700c3c7dfec7461a553e17c29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 0c | 189,488$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.29 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 21c | 8,068$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.37 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 35c | 7,835$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.31 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 19c | 7,716$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,264.59 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 41c | 6,391$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.49 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 19c | 6,298$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.47 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…4893backed Yes | 60c | 5,579$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed No | 74c | 5,559$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.54 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 40c | 4,712$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.03 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 36c | 4,145$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.94 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Yes | 70c | 3,953$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…2f40backed No | 79c | 3,815$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 27c | 3,589$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.03 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 25c | 3,218$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.25 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed No | 26c | 3,017$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 22c | 2,869$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.62 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 62c | 2,862$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.8 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed Yes | 48c | 2,479$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.93 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed Yes | 14c | 2,405$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.84 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 60c | 2,266$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.56 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 38c | 2,047$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.89 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 39c | 1,900$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…abc9backed No | 54c | 1,813$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 57c | 1,769$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.47 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 33c | 1,699$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.24 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9e…0a21backed Yes | 70c | 1,587$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae8…ed0cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,586$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,530$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.08 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked No | 30c | 1,501$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.03 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412b…f117backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed No | 48c | 1,434$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…2fe6backed Yes | 70c | 1,415$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…2ca1backed Yes | 75c | 1,339$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed Yes | 45c | 1,326$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.35 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…2884backed No | 75c | 1,325$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…6e3fbacked No | 16c | 1,220$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,150$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.15 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Yes | 33c | 1,084$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.12 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed Yes | 62c | 1,074$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.09 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…f5b9backed Yes | 39c | 987.5$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 65c | 957$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.14 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f2…b4d7backed Yes | 51c | 929.46$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed No | 12c | 910$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 43c | 900$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.6 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Yes | 8c | 892.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked No | 22c | 892$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.88 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 54c | 846.97$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.73 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 39c | 844.67$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.16 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 77c | 809.47$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.76 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 776.46$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.38 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 4c | 734.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.02 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 45c | 726.47$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.98 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…c5afbacked Yes | 41c | 724.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 62c | 723.02$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.86 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 697.97$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.08 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 37c | 697$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.66 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed No | 19c | 636.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 11c | 618.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 34c | 613.33$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.14 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…2df0backed No | 60c | 598.3$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbc…b977backed Yes | 69c | 577.18$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5152…79a0backed Yes | 60c | 550.04$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.18 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…df9ebacked Yes | 56c | 539.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 39c | 533.22$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.52 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 62c | 530.36$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed No | 19c | 522.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.97 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…53d1backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 41c | 474.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…6db1backed No | 27c | 427.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.89 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2378…a059backed Yes | 77c | 393.38$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -36%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 57c | 358.07$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed Yes | 40c | 354.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 71c | 330.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.66 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d1…2b32backed No | 64c | 327.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed Yes | 69c | 324.03$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.98 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…ca74backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9ed9backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a4…4cc7backed No | 30c | 263.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 20c | 253.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…a164backed Yes | 77c | 247.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…7606backed Yes | 74c | 241.78$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 74c | 238.79$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.05 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…8737backed No | 59c | 236.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…8e16backed Yes | 61c | 232.14$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 62c | 229.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed No | 64c | 218.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed Yes | 67c | 215.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…f41fbacked No | 46c | 214.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 50c | 214$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 43c | 213.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked No | 76c | 212.3$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…9a18backed Yes | 69c | 209.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…a602backed Yes | 41c | 206.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 13c | 201.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.04 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…fe46backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed No | 24c | 179.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 64c | 177.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.02 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.