NHL · resolved market
Will Leon Draisaitl score the most total goals in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07213e7de1cd208d2a15dfbe51e55c86447f85c7671532f6ab5ac238c3991726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1558…26aabacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 40c | 168.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8264…845abacked Yes | 33c | 111.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 75c | 97.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 15c | 77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 69c | 15.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leon Draisaitl score the most total goals in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals?this page
- Will Aleksander Barkov score the most total goals in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals?No won
- Will Connor McDavid score the most total goals in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals?No won
- Will Evan Rodrigues score the most total goals in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals?No won
- Will Matthew Tkachuk score the most total goals in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals?No won
- Will Sam Bennett score the most total goals in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.