NFL · resolved market
"It's Scripted" KC Comeback Parlay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc2babca97c5b0cfd468d4c7afcca65a0afa66e2e7640f73b36b27b57a99370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed No | 79c | 8,991$7,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.1 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 21c | 5,404$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 20c | 5,137$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.43 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 79c | 4,998$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.55 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…7ef2backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…7badbacked Yes | 15c | 891.87$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed8…b288backed Yes | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…e5cdbacked Yes | 20c | 502.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…35b0backed Yes | 20c | 490$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfe…0a5ebacked Yes | 25c | 405.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d42…4aebbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 19c | 377.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…eaa7backed No | 78c | 335.49$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 78c | 259.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…2353backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…6feebacked Yes | 20c | 203.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 76c | 201.84$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b20…68bdbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…1e39backed Yes | 28c | 193.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Yes | 35c | 173.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…5284backed Yes | 20c | 139.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 18c | 129.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 20c | 127.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 124.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…bfb6backed Yes | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…aa6cbacked Yes | 20c | 101.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…df2abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca1…406ebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1108…cb47backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…dcadbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 19c | 96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…be4ebacked Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 80c | 84.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Yes | 24c | 79.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…99bebacked Yes | 25c | 69.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…677fbacked No | 78c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…afecbacked Yes | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 80c | 65.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…c4f2backed Yes | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…e6ecbacked No | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…1022backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…3c55backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…1d51backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…b76bbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e30…a12cbacked Yes | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…1388backed No | 78c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…ab3ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…1301backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…35cdbacked Yes | 24c | 49.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 80c | 43.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…e5a0backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…4db4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…f0ebbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…b90bbacked No | 79c | 31.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc099…f1dabacked No | 76c | 30.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c2…7338backed No | 76c | 28.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…bef0backed No | 78c | 28.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…6537backed No | 77c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…2e75backed No | 79c | 27.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…89adbacked No | 76c | 25.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2275…88e9backed No | 77c | 24.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…c107backed No | 77c | 22.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa014…50b7backed No | 76c | 21.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…3012backed No | 78c | 21.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…4d33backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…5ce5backed No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…1d7bbacked No | 78c | 20.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…3405backed No | 77c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c7…15fcbacked No | 77c | 18.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…3295backed No | 76c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…077dbacked No | 77c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7e…b881backed No | 78c | 12.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.