Tennis · resolved market
Will Aryna Sabalenka win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80c809b7eb9994716e35c66c942fd4e66422edb79db5dbce758ab8dca8529649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,822$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5f…993bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 6c | 890.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 15c | 730$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 4c | 517.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8140backed Yes | 23c | 357.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed Yes | 4c | 324.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 312.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 75c | 307.4$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 6c | 288.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…faa0backed Yes | 7c | 277.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582d…0557backed Yes | 7c | 270.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e1…02bfbacked Yes | 8c | 218.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?this page
- Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?No won
- Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.