WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a3ee46123da682b0e525193fd582ea383d11b730ec4c6236599c648b516052d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Mystics, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Storm | 73c | 15,108$11,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,069.89 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f42…6e40backed Mystics | 36c | 9,122$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,874.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Storm | 73c | 4,292$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.3 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 27c | 4,021$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.88 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mystics | 29c | 3,285$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.16 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Storm | 68c | 2,212$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mystics | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Mystics | 30c | 1,892$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Storm | 71c | 1,547$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.94 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mystics | 26c | 1,425$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.32 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Storm | 55c | 1,412$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.91 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mystics | 28c | 1,140$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.32 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Storm | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Mystics | 30c | 1,011$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.69 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mystics | 58c | 936$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Storm | 58c | 912.25$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Storm | 72c | 880.28$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Storm | 61c | 851.59$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.71 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Storm | 74c | 680$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.2 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mystics | 27c | 577$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.42 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Storm | 72c | 549.98$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.98 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Storm | 70c | 523.8$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.66 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…145abacked Storm | 73c | 379.57$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Mystics | 36c | 322.83$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mystics | 26c | 304.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.79 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mystics | 28c | 291.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Mystics | 37c | 270.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Mystics | 43c | 234.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Storm | 73c | 226$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mystics | 38c | 210$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mystics | 79c | 198.63$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Mystics | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Mystics | 41c | 153.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mystics | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Storm | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mystics | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Mystics | 26c | 99.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Mystics | 28c | 87.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Mystics | 28c | 82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Storm | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Storm | 58c | 67.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mystics | 34c | 67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…4e0bbacked Storm | 65c | 52.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Storm | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mystics | 28c | 47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Mystics | 33c | 38.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…437abacked Mystics | 28c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Mystics | 29c | 35.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Storm | 39c | 35.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.