WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Sparks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x738992633d0b645b2548ab1eb55fac1cb0be11a4528752d58e6582cf54058321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Mystics, Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mystics | 50c | 5,794$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.24 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sparks | 49c | 5,405$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.7 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mystics | 52c | 3,680$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Sparks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Mystics | 53c | 2,011$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Mystics | 49c | 1,905$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.61 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mystics | 24c | 1,627$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.89 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Mystics | 12c | 1,520$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sparks | 51c | 1,519$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.51 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Mystics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Sparks | 47c | 946.87$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Sparks | 53c | 816.75$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.88 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mystics | 10c | 800$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mystics | 48c | 749.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Mystics | 57c | 674.28$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Sparks | 50c | 662.6$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sparks | 43c | 650.11$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.56 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mystics | 51c | 600$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 54c | 540$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mystics | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sparks | 51c | 431.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Sparks | 51c | 402$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mystics | 49c | 392.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.61 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sparks | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Sparks | 56c | 204.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Sparks | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Mystics | 40c | 178.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…236cbacked Sparks | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Mystics | 50c | 137.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sparks | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sparks | 49c | 107.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sparks | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sparks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked Sparks | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sparks | 45c | 91.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Mystics | 50c | 79.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Sparks | 53c | 75.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490c…3093backed Sparks | 47c | 71.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Sparks | 50c | 69.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed Sparks | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Mystics | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Mystics | 28c | 53.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15a0…0bf7backed Sparks | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Sparks | 79c | 51.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Sparks | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Mystics | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Sparks | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Sparks | 46c | 39.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…aba7backed Mystics | 54c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Sparks | 55c | 39.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Sparks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Sparks | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sparks | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Mystics | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.