Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Ruud vs. Stricker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0670a58945233aa10c1fece67754446bf41a25459bf91d40eeddfd8f0610dbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruudof Ruud, Stricker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f6c…40adbacked Ruud | 79c | 5,758$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Stricker | 19c | 5,140$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.25 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…0796backed Stricker | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…8a10backed Ruud | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Stricker | 27c | 768.81$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.58 | 959 | 35.5%340 W · 619 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e96…ed21backed Stricker | 31c | 725.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Stricker | 24c | 668.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Stricker | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ruud | 75c | 528.2$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ruud | 75c | 440$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stricker | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stricker | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Ruud | 77c | 356.25$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Stricker | 18c | 350$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Stricker | 24c | 305.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 308 | 55.8%172 W · 136 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ruud | 79c | 209$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Stricker | 25c | 203.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Stricker | 12c | 185.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Stricker | 25c | 133.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Ruud | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Ruud | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9c…0fe6backed Ruud | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ruud | 79c | 126.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Ruud | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Stricker | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Stricker | 22c | 88.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Ruud | 76c | 82.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Ruud | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Ruud | 79c | 54.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Stricker | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Ruud | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Stricker | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Stricker | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Ruud | 74c | 25.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Ruud | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…707bbacked Ruud | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.