WNBA · resolved market
Mercury vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cfd0e280d309b901fe092e73dc978b3f20184c0e455354cb12ebaf9d506f9ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercuryof Mercury, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mercury | 47c | 81,579$38,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,043.29 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Valkyries | 53c | 70,221$37,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,417.65 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Valkyries | 53c | 18,000$9,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,570 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 49c | 11,689$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,764.54 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Mercury | 47c | 8,149$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Mercury | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mercury | 51c | 4,512$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.76 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercury | 51c | 4,289$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.22 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Mercury | 51c | 4,218$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mercury | 51c | 3,923$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Valkyries | 39c | 3,695$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Mercury | 45c | 3,621$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Valkyries | 51c | 3,311$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.56 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mercury | 47c | 3,265$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Mercury | 46c | 2,950$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Mercury | 51c | 2,944$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mercury | 78c | 2,517$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.17 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mercury | 46c | 2,184$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.27 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Valkyries | 39c | 2,096$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mercury | 59c | 2,039$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.19 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Mercury | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Valkyries | 53c | 2,000$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Valkyries | 54c | 1,500$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mercury | 53c | 1,218$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.16 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Valkyries | 54c | 1,216$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Valkyries | 55c | 1,129$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mercury | 47c | 1,031$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.93 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mercury | 60c | 893.52$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.72 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mercury | 41c | 868$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.24 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mercury | 48c | 864$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.28 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Mercury | 50c | 828.73$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Valkyries | 54c | 786.41$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.66 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mercury | 46c | 536$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.78 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…340dbacked Valkyries | 56c | 535.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mercury | 46c | 525$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Valkyries | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Valkyries | 52c | 489.27$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Valkyries | 70c | 458.27$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mercury | 46c | 447.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.78 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Valkyries | 70c | 416.71$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…236cbacked Mercury | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Mercury | 44c | 380$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mercury | 33c | 340.81$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.23 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…3b94backed Mercury | 45c | 275$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Valkyries | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Valkyries | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mercury | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Mercury | 50c | 228.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mercury | 47c | 222.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mercury | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mercury | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Mercury | 48c | 216$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mercury | 47c | 208.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mercury | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Valkyries | 38c | 187.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Valkyries | 54c | 182.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Valkyries | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…6ad5backed Valkyries | 56c | 179.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Valkyries | 54c | 154.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Mercury | 46c | 153.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mercury | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Valkyries | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Valkyries | 44c | 145.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Mercury | 46c | 143.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Mercury | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Valkyries | 54c | 103$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mercury | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Mercury | 52c | 95.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Valkyries | 55c | 94.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Valkyries | 56c | 88.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Mercury | 48c | 84.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Valkyries | 56c | 83.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Mercury | 45c | 66.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Mercury | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Mercury | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Valkyries | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 71cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mercury | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…c0c8backed Valkyries | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2e…f729backed Mercury | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…ae48backed Valkyries | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f68…1935backed Valkyries | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ae…3e9ebacked Mercury | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Mercury | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Valkyries | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…7812backed Valkyries | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3760…02efbacked Mercury | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…a3e4backed Valkyries | 56c | 31.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…4e0bbacked Mercury | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…0797backed Mercury | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…6faebacked Mercury | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Valkyries | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ff…7a3bbacked Valkyries | 53c | 28.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Mercury | 45c | 27.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Mercury | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.