TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dae…f8b2backed Giants41c30,706$12,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,538.0313352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants13c24,242$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.7160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Dodgers46c16,371$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,871.0926847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Giants60c11,782$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,10029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.9914648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Giants52c9,873$5,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,140.479749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Giants44c9,765$4,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,296.7460451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers39c7,264$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,422.231,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers46c7,218$3,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.641,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers49c5,988$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,08132852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants35c5,410$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.052,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde0…c21cbacked Dodgers63c3,748$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.386238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Dodgers74c3,588$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91968769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Dodgers58c3,426$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.0728646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Dodgers46c3,424$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.0715644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Dodgers54c3,366$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.235349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Dodgers60c3,285$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.8317927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Dodgers50c2,466$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.7997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Giants33c2,070$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.651,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Giants53c1,899$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.121,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Dodgers72c1,589$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.355358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Giants25c1,553$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.930842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Giants44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9924248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers68c1,479$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.4795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers76c1,409$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9656451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20f…2266backed Dodgers67c1,364$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Giants47c1,221$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.8118349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ee…7ad7backed Giants1c1,216$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.764610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Dodgers60c1,134$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.627853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers55c1,046$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.732,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Giants45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Dodgers56c999.98$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9915942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers56c852$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.8848254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Dodgers55c824.18$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.883852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Dodgers57c804.91$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.1443946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers56c803.57$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5726651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Giants67c786.61$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.0331248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Dodgers55c722.24$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3119852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x102c…a24cbacked Dodgers67c631.03$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2416251.9%84 W · 78 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Giants48c615.04$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3818748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Giants44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26414549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Giants26c570$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.534051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers56c555$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.243654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbba5…cb7dbacked Dodgers56c542.68$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.782857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Dodgers39c539.79$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.986,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers68c519.89$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.121,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702b…d274backed Giants6c483.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Giants53c468.11$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.130740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1e…8610backed Dodgers53c463.93$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Giants44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20066748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed Dodgers54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1842948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Giants41c386.36$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.411,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants47c378.72$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers55c371.27$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.879,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Dodgers57c355$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6592050%460 W · 460 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Dodgers56c337.5$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.515949.1%78 W · 81 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants44c326.8$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7938047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Giants45c308.89$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13930242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Dodgers51c302$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8515642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Giants55c300$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1642,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Dodgers68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1234550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Giants44c272.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Giants6c259.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.228762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Giants49c241.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5415151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Giants43c232.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.171,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Dodgers45c223.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.148540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers56c219.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.81,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers56c200.79$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.355,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers58c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Dodgers61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6365549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Dodgers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Dodgers56c199.11$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6119449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd46…bcd2backed Giants14c190.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.711030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Giants44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Dodgers57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4457545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Dodgers57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4431356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Giants45c159.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.418243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants42c141.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.921,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ac9…70b0backed Dodgers37c140.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+125.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Giants45c121.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.628336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440b…d50cbacked Giants41c121.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Giants43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.656440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Giants46c112.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.57452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Giants45c109.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Giants21c106$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6341751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Giants47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4717139.2%67 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Giants45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Giants15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Giants45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4578454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Dodgers56c95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.88253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c6…7624backed Giants45c94.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.537463.5%47 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants44c94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.362,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374b…0cf0backed Giants45c93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Dodgers57c91.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5980680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Giants44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf460…41b9backed Giants45c84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Dodgers55c75.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.111,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.